Recent US statements and reports from mid-June 2026 indicate progress toward a framework agreement that would address Iran's nuclear program alongside sanctions relief and a formal end to recent hostilities. President Trump has highlighted concessions on enrichment limits and uranium stockpile removal, while Iranian officials have signaled openness to further talks via Omani mediators but have not confirmed final terms. A proposed 60-day post-signing window for technical nuclear details aligns with the July 31 resolution date. Trader consensus at 70% reflects these diplomatic signals and the extended ceasefire, though verification requirements and enrichment disputes remain potential hurdles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$333,618 交易量
$333,618 交易量
2026-07-31
$333,618 交易量
$333,618 交易量
2026-07-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent US statements and reports from mid-June 2026 indicate progress toward a framework agreement that would address Iran's nuclear program alongside sanctions relief and a formal end to recent hostilities. President Trump has highlighted concessions on enrichment limits and uranium stockpile removal, while Iranian officials have signaled openness to further talks via Omani mediators but have not confirmed final terms. A proposed 60-day post-signing window for technical nuclear details aligns with the July 31 resolution date. Trader consensus at 70% reflects these diplomatic signals and the extended ceasefire, though verification requirements and enrichment disputes remain potential hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$333,618结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent US statements and reports from mid-June 2026 indicate progress toward a framework agreement that would address Iran's nuclear program alongside sanctions relief and a formal end to recent hostilities. President Trump has highlighted concessions on enrichment limits and uranium stockpile removal, while Iranian officials have signaled openness to further talks via Omani mediators but have not confirmed final terms. A proposed 60-day post-signing window for technical nuclear details aligns with the July 31 resolution date. Trader consensus at 70% reflects these diplomatic signals and the extended ceasefire, though verification requirements and enrichment disputes remain potential hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$334,864结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US statements and reports from mid-June 2026 indicate progress toward a framework agreement that would address Iran's nuclear program alongside sanctions relief and a formal end to recent hostilities. President Trump has highlighted concessions on enrichment limits and uranium stockpile removal, while Iranian officials have signaled openness to further talks via Omani mediators but have not confirmed final terms. A proposed 60-day post-signing window for technical nuclear details aligns with the July 31 resolution date. Trader consensus at 70% reflects these diplomatic signals and the extended ceasefire, though verification requirements and enrichment disputes remain potential hurdles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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