**Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including the naval blockade and “Operation Economic Outcast” sanctions, continue to suppress Iranian oil exports and hard-currency inflows, sustaining depreciation pressure on the rial into year-end.** Free-market rates have climbed above 2.3 million rials per dollar in mid-September amid reduced loadings (down to roughly 200-250k barrels per day), severed UAE trade links, and elevated inflation. Central Bank interventions and reserve claims have provided only temporary support against speculative demand and capital outflows. The narrow spread across the 2.0–3.5 million bands reflects uncertainty over whether intensified sanctions enforcement, further military friction, or oil-market disruptions will push rates higher, or whether diplomatic openings and any export circumvention could stabilize or modestly strengthen the currency. Historical precedent shows rapid swings tied to geopolitical signals, leaving traders focused on near-term developments in sanctions implementation, oil flows, and regional diplomacy as the key variables through December.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于250万 - 300万 28%
200万 - 250万 27%
300万 - 350万 25%
低于200万 16%
$12,028 交易量
$12,028 交易量
2026-12-31
低于200万
16%
200万 - 250万
27%
250万 - 300万
28%
300万 - 350万
25%
350万 - 400万
8%
4,000,000以上
4%
250万 - 300万 28%
200万 - 250万 27%
300万 - 350万 25%
低于200万 16%
$12,028 交易量
$12,028 交易量
2026-12-31
低于200万
$3,832 交易量
16%
200万 - 250万
$2,994 交易量
27%
250万 - 300万
$1,602 交易量
28%
300万 - 350万
$1,887 交易量
25%
350万 - 400万
$1,414 交易量
8%
4,000,000以上
$300 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including the naval blockade and “Operation Economic Outcast” sanctions, continue to suppress Iranian oil exports and hard-currency inflows, sustaining depreciation pressure on the rial into year-end.** Free-market rates have climbed above 2.3 million rials per dollar in mid-September amid reduced loadings (down to roughly 200-250k barrels per day), severed UAE trade links, and elevated inflation. Central Bank interventions and reserve claims have provided only temporary support against speculative demand and capital outflows.
The narrow spread across the 2.0–3.5 million bands reflects uncertainty over whether intensified sanctions enforcement, further military friction, or oil-market disruptions will push rates higher, or whether diplomatic openings and any export circumvention could stabilize or modestly strengthen the currency. Historical precedent shows rapid swings tied to geopolitical signals, leaving traders focused on near-term developments in sanctions implementation, oil flows, and regional diplomacy as the key variables through December.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
交易量
$12,028结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including the naval blockade and “Operation Economic Outcast” sanctions, continue to suppress Iranian oil exports and hard-currency inflows, sustaining depreciation pressure on the rial into year-end.** Free-market rates have climbed above 2.3 million rials per dollar in mid-September amid reduced loadings (down to roughly 200-250k barrels per day), severed UAE trade links, and elevated inflation. Central Bank interventions and reserve claims have provided only temporary support against speculative demand and capital outflows.
The narrow spread across the 2.0–3.5 million bands reflects uncertainty over whether intensified sanctions enforcement, further military friction, or oil-market disruptions will push rates higher, or whether diplomatic openings and any export circumvention could stabilize or modestly strengthen the currency. Historical precedent shows rapid swings tied to geopolitical signals, leaving traders focused on near-term developments in sanctions implementation, oil flows, and regional diplomacy as the key variables through December.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$12,028结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET**Ongoing US-Iran tensions, including the naval blockade and “Operation Economic Outcast” sanctions, continue to suppress Iranian oil exports and hard-currency inflows, sustaining depreciation pressure on the rial into year-end.** Free-market rates have climbed above 2.3 million rials per dollar in mid-September amid reduced loadings (down to roughly 200-250k barrels per day), severed UAE trade links, and elevated inflation. Central Bank interventions and reserve claims have provided only temporary support against speculative demand and capital outflows. The narrow spread across the 2.0–3.5 million bands reflects uncertainty over whether intensified sanctions enforcement, further military friction, or oil-market disruptions will push rates higher, or whether diplomatic openings and any export circumvention could stabilize or modestly strengthen the currency. Historical precedent shows rapid swings tied to geopolitical signals, leaving traders focused on near-term developments in sanctions implementation, oil flows, and regional diplomacy as the key variables through December.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题