Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who won the seat in 2024, faces Republican nominee Dave Beckwith in the November 2026 general election after both cleared their August 4 primaries. Virginia's 10th district carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+6 and supported the Democratic presidential nominee by eight points in the prior cycle, establishing a structural advantage reinforced by the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from significant national political realignment, unusually strong Republican turnout in suburban precincts, or late-cycle developments affecting candidate viability before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,608 交易量
94%
共和党
$4,999 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who won the seat in 2024, faces Republican nominee Dave Beckwith in the November 2026 general election after both cleared their August 4 primaries. Virginia's 10th district carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+6 and supported the Democratic presidential nominee by eight points in the prior cycle, establishing a structural advantage reinforced by the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from significant national political realignment, unusually strong Republican turnout in suburban precincts, or late-cycle developments affecting candidate viability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$6,607结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who won the seat in 2024, faces Republican nominee Dave Beckwith in the November 2026 general election after both cleared their August 4 primaries. Virginia's 10th district carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+6 and supported the Democratic presidential nominee by eight points in the prior cycle, establishing a structural advantage reinforced by the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from significant national political realignment, unusually strong Republican turnout in suburban precincts, or late-cycle developments affecting candidate viability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,607结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who won the seat in 2024, faces Republican nominee Dave Beckwith in the November 2026 general election after both cleared their August 4 primaries. Virginia's 10th district carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+6 and supported the Democratic presidential nominee by eight points in the prior cycle, establishing a structural advantage reinforced by the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from significant national political realignment, unusually strong Republican turnout in suburban precincts, or late-cycle developments affecting candidate viability before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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