Trader consensus assigns Nicolás Maduro the highest probability of leading Venezuela at the end of 2026 due to the continuity of chavismo-aligned institutions after the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured him. Delcy Rodríguez, now serving as acting president and recognized in diplomatic engagements by the United States, holds the second position as the regime's interim figure managing oil-sector liberalization and military stability. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González register lower shares amid ongoing calls for elections and democratic transition, while other names reflect limited expectations of rapid shifts in military or civilian leadership. Recent U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic normalization and prisoner releases have reinforced perceptions of managed continuity rather than abrupt change through the remainder of the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年底委内瑞拉领导人？
2026年底委内瑞拉领导人？
尼古拉斯·马杜罗 64.3%
德尔西·罗德里格斯 21%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 8%
豪尔赫·罗德里格斯 1.1%
$88,293,381 交易量
$88,293,381 交易量
2026-12-31
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
64%
德尔西·罗德里格斯
21%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多
8%
豪尔赫·罗德里格斯
1%
迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东
1%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯
1%
唐纳德·特朗普
1%
没有国家元首
1%
迪诺拉·菲格拉
<1%
弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯
<1%
埃文·佩图斯
<1%
丹·凯恩
<1%
马尔科·鲁比奥
<1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
<1%
弗兰克·多诺万
<1%
理查德·格雷内尔
<1%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗 64.3%
德尔西·罗德里格斯 21%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 8%
豪尔赫·罗德里格斯 1.1%
$88,293,381 交易量
$88,293,381 交易量
2026-12-31
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
$1,706,333 交易量
64%
德尔西·罗德里格斯
$1,597,829 交易量
21%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多
$1,061,695 交易量
8%
豪尔赫·罗德里格斯
$1,005,460 交易量
1%
迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东
$1,688,856 交易量
1%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯
$830,446 交易量
1%
唐纳德·特朗普
$913,621 交易量
1%
没有国家元首
$1,080,847 交易量
1%
迪诺拉·菲格拉
$2,339,406 交易量
<1%
弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯
$666,521 交易量
<1%
埃文·佩图斯
$5,166,887 交易量
<1%
丹·凯恩
$3,573,662 交易量
<1%
马尔科·鲁比奥
$983,236 交易量
<1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
$8,602,487 交易量
<1%
弗兰克·多诺万
$25,057,054 交易量
<1%
理查德·格雷内尔
$32,019,156 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Trader consensus assigns Nicolás Maduro the highest probability of leading Venezuela at the end of 2026 due to the continuity of chavismo-aligned institutions after the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured him. Delcy Rodríguez, now serving as acting president and recognized in diplomatic engagements by the United States, holds the second position as the regime's interim figure managing oil-sector liberalization and military stability. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González register lower shares amid ongoing calls for elections and democratic transition, while other names reflect limited expectations of rapid shifts in military or civilian leadership. Recent U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic normalization and prisoner releases have reinforced perceptions of managed continuity rather than abrupt change through the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
交易量
$88,293,381结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Trader consensus assigns Nicolás Maduro the highest probability of leading Venezuela at the end of 2026 due to the continuity of chavismo-aligned institutions after the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured him. Delcy Rodríguez, now serving as acting president and recognized in diplomatic engagements by the United States, holds the second position as the regime's interim figure managing oil-sector liberalization and military stability. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González register lower shares amid ongoing calls for elections and democratic transition, while other names reflect limited expectations of rapid shifts in military or civilian leadership. Recent U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic normalization and prisoner releases have reinforced perceptions of managed continuity rather than abrupt change through the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
交易量
$88,293,381结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns Nicolás Maduro the highest probability of leading Venezuela at the end of 2026 due to the continuity of chavismo-aligned institutions after the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured him. Delcy Rodríguez, now serving as acting president and recognized in diplomatic engagements by the United States, holds the second position as the regime's interim figure managing oil-sector liberalization and military stability. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González register lower shares amid ongoing calls for elections and democratic transition, while other names reflect limited expectations of rapid shifts in military or civilian leadership. Recent U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic normalization and prisoner releases have reinforced perceptions of managed continuity rather than abrupt change through the remainder of the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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