US military capture of Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and his subsequent removal from Venezuela shifted immediate power to interim structures, yet trader consensus continues to favor him at the end of 2026 amid ongoing Chavista institutional control. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as acting president shortly after the operation, holds the next-highest probability as the regime's continuity candidate during the transition period that includes scheduled elections later in the year. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined by low odds due to limited institutional access following the disputed 2024 vote and post-intervention dynamics. Key military and political allies including Jorge Rodríguez, Diosdado Cabello, and Vladimir Padrino López register minimal probabilities, reflecting their secondary roles in current negotiations and stability arrangements. These prices embed uncertainty over how the August 2026 electoral process and any US-backed roadmap will ultimately reshape leadership by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年底委内瑞拉领导人？
2026年底委内瑞拉领导人？
尼古拉斯·马杜罗 64.1%
德尔西·罗德里格斯 21%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 7%
豪尔赫·罗德里格斯 1.1%
$88,251,674 交易量
$88,251,674 交易量
2026-12-31
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
64%
德尔西·罗德里格斯
21%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多
7%
豪尔赫·罗德里格斯
1%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯
1%
迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东
1%
唐纳德·特朗普
1%
没有国家元首
1%
迪诺拉·菲格拉
<1%
马尔科·鲁比奥
<1%
弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯
<1%
埃文·佩图斯
<1%
丹·凯恩
<1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
<1%
弗兰克·多诺万
<1%
理查德·格雷内尔
<1%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗 64.1%
德尔西·罗德里格斯 21%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 7%
豪尔赫·罗德里格斯 1.1%
$88,251,674 交易量
$88,251,674 交易量
2026-12-31
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
$1,706,037 交易量
64%
德尔西·罗德里格斯
$1,597,374 交易量
21%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多
$1,056,384 交易量
7%
豪尔赫·罗德里格斯
$1,003,219 交易量
1%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯
$825,815 交易量
1%
迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东
$1,683,017 交易量
1%
唐纳德·特朗普
$913,165 交易量
1%
没有国家元首
$1,076,321 交易量
1%
迪诺拉·菲格拉
$2,339,279 交易量
<1%
马尔科·鲁比奥
$981,148 交易量
<1%
弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯
$666,471 交易量
<1%
埃文·佩图斯
$5,165,227 交易量
<1%
丹·凯恩
$3,566,968 交易量
<1%
皮特·赫格塞斯
$8,600,737 交易量
<1%
弗兰克·多诺万
$25,054,556 交易量
<1%
理查德·格雷内尔
$32,015,955 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military capture of Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and his subsequent removal from Venezuela shifted immediate power to interim structures, yet trader consensus continues to favor him at the end of 2026 amid ongoing Chavista institutional control. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as acting president shortly after the operation, holds the next-highest probability as the regime's continuity candidate during the transition period that includes scheduled elections later in the year. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined by low odds due to limited institutional access following the disputed 2024 vote and post-intervention dynamics. Key military and political allies including Jorge Rodríguez, Diosdado Cabello, and Vladimir Padrino López register minimal probabilities, reflecting their secondary roles in current negotiations and stability arrangements. These prices embed uncertainty over how the August 2026 electoral process and any US-backed roadmap will ultimately reshape leadership by year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
交易量
$88,251,674结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military capture of Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and his subsequent removal from Venezuela shifted immediate power to interim structures, yet trader consensus continues to favor him at the end of 2026 amid ongoing Chavista institutional control. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as acting president shortly after the operation, holds the next-highest probability as the regime's continuity candidate during the transition period that includes scheduled elections later in the year. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined by low odds due to limited institutional access following the disputed 2024 vote and post-intervention dynamics. Key military and political allies including Jorge Rodríguez, Diosdado Cabello, and Vladimir Padrino López register minimal probabilities, reflecting their secondary roles in current negotiations and stability arrangements. These prices embed uncertainty over how the August 2026 electoral process and any US-backed roadmap will ultimately reshape leadership by year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
交易量
$88,251,674结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...US military capture of Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and his subsequent removal from Venezuela shifted immediate power to interim structures, yet trader consensus continues to favor him at the end of 2026 amid ongoing Chavista institutional control. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as acting president shortly after the operation, holds the next-highest probability as the regime's continuity candidate during the transition period that includes scheduled elections later in the year. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined by low odds due to limited institutional access following the disputed 2024 vote and post-intervention dynamics. Key military and political allies including Jorge Rodríguez, Diosdado Cabello, and Vladimir Padrino López register minimal probabilities, reflecting their secondary roles in current negotiations and stability arrangements. These prices embed uncertainty over how the August 2026 electoral process and any US-backed roadmap will ultimately reshape leadership by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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