Recent housing market data show median existing-home prices reaching $417,700 in April 2026, supported by modest sales gains and persistent inventory shortages despite elevated mortgage rates. Trader positioning clusters tightly around the 434k–438k range because April figures sit below those levels yet seasonal demand and limited new listings could produce a modest May lift before the May 31 reading. High financing costs continue to cap broader appreciation, while year-over-year growth has slowed to roughly 1 percent, keeping the distribution of outcomes competitive across the central bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
436 - 438k 24%
434 - 436k 22%
442 - 445k 18%
432 - 434k 17%
<432k
15%
432 - 434k
19%
434 - 436k
22%
436 - 438k
21%
438 - 440k
16%
440 - 442k
12%
442 - 445k
11%
>445k
8%
436 - 438k 24%
434 - 436k 22%
442 - 445k 18%
432 - 434k 17%
<432k
15%
432 - 434k
19%
434 - 436k
22%
436 - 438k
21%
438 - 440k
16%
440 - 442k
12%
442 - 445k
11%
>445k
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
市场开放时间: May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing market data show median existing-home prices reaching $417,700 in April 2026, supported by modest sales gains and persistent inventory shortages despite elevated mortgage rates. Trader positioning clusters tightly around the 434k–438k range because April figures sit below those levels yet seasonal demand and limited new listings could produce a modest May lift before the May 31 reading. High financing costs continue to cap broader appreciation, while year-over-year growth has slowed to roughly 1 percent, keeping the distribution of outcomes competitive across the central bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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