Aston Villa goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez remains the frontrunner to stay put at 60.6% implied probability after Juventus transfer talks collapsed in mid-August 2026. Villa rejected bids around €10 million and refused to lower their valuation despite the Italian side agreeing personal terms earlier in the summer, leaving the Argentina international to integrate back into the squad ahead of the Premier League and Champions League campaigns. The 33-year-old’s contract runs until 2029, and recent form plus his established status as the club’s No. 1 have reinforced trader consensus that no move will materialize before the window closes. Juventus interest briefly elevated their odds, but the stalled negotiations and Villa’s Champions League ambitions have shifted sentiment firmly toward retention, with lower probabilities attached to Chelsea, Al-Hilal, Manchester United, and Bayern Munich reflecting limited concrete developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Aston Villa 60.6%
尤文图斯 10.0%
Chelsea 3.3%
Al-Hilal 2.4%
$61,177 交易量
$61,177 交易量
2026-09-02
Manchester United
1%
Bayern Munich
<1%
Al-Hilal
2%
Chelsea
3%
尤文图斯
11%
Aston Villa
61%
Aston Villa 60.6%
尤文图斯 10.0%
Chelsea 3.3%
Al-Hilal 2.4%
$61,177 交易量
$61,177 交易量
2026-09-02
Manchester United
$1,973 交易量
1%
Bayern Munich
$1,475 交易量
<1%
Al-Hilal
$3,394 交易量
2%
Chelsea
$1,429 交易量
3%
尤文图斯
$2,223 交易量
11%
Aston Villa
$50,683 交易量
61%
This market will resolve to the next team Emiliano Martinez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Emiliano Martinez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Aston Villa".
If Emiliano Martinez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Emiliano Martinez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Aston Villa and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Aston Villa goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez remains the frontrunner to stay put at 60.6% implied probability after Juventus transfer talks collapsed in mid-August 2026. Villa rejected bids around €10 million and refused to lower their valuation despite the Italian side agreeing personal terms earlier in the summer, leaving the Argentina international to integrate back into the squad ahead of the Premier League and Champions League campaigns. The 33-year-old’s contract runs until 2029, and recent form plus his established status as the club’s No. 1 have reinforced trader consensus that no move will materialize before the window closes. Juventus interest briefly elevated their odds, but the stalled negotiations and Villa’s Champions League ambitions have shifted sentiment firmly toward retention, with lower probabilities attached to Chelsea, Al-Hilal, Manchester United, and Bayern Munich reflecting limited concrete developments.
This market will resolve to the next team Emiliano Martinez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Emiliano Martinez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Aston Villa".
If Emiliano Martinez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Emiliano Martinez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Aston Villa and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If Emiliano Martinez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Aston Villa".
If Emiliano Martinez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Emiliano Martinez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Aston Villa and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
交易量
$61,177市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next team Emiliano Martinez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Emiliano Martinez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Aston Villa".
If Emiliano Martinez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Emiliano Martinez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Aston Villa and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Aston Villa goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez remains the frontrunner to stay put at 60.6% implied probability after Juventus transfer talks collapsed in mid-August 2026. Villa rejected bids around €10 million and refused to lower their valuation despite the Italian side agreeing personal terms earlier in the summer, leaving the Argentina international to integrate back into the squad ahead of the Premier League and Champions League campaigns. The 33-year-old’s contract runs until 2029, and recent form plus his established status as the club’s No. 1 have reinforced trader consensus that no move will materialize before the window closes. Juventus interest briefly elevated their odds, but the stalled negotiations and Villa’s Champions League ambitions have shifted sentiment firmly toward retention, with lower probabilities attached to Chelsea, Al-Hilal, Manchester United, and Bayern Munich reflecting limited concrete developments.
This market will resolve to the next team Emiliano Martinez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Emiliano Martinez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Aston Villa".
If Emiliano Martinez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Emiliano Martinez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Aston Villa and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If Emiliano Martinez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Aston Villa".
If Emiliano Martinez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Emiliano Martinez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Aston Villa and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
交易量
$61,177市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Aston Villa goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez remains the frontrunner to stay put at 60.6% implied probability after Juventus transfer talks collapsed in mid-August 2026. Villa rejected bids around €10 million and refused to lower their valuation despite the Italian side agreeing personal terms earlier in the summer, leaving the Argentina international to integrate back into the squad ahead of the Premier League and Champions League campaigns. The 33-year-old’s contract runs until 2029, and recent form plus his established status as the club’s No. 1 have reinforced trader consensus that no move will materialize before the window closes. Juventus interest briefly elevated their odds, but the stalled negotiations and Villa’s Champions League ambitions have shifted sentiment firmly toward retention, with lower probabilities attached to Chelsea, Al-Hilal, Manchester United, and Bayern Munich reflecting limited concrete developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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