Trader consensus prices Europe at a dominant 72.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers including top-ranked powerhouses like Spain, France, England, Germany, Netherlands, and Italy—all securing spots through dominant group stage performances and playoff wins in late March qualifiers. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL's six strong entrants, headlined by defending champions Argentina and Brazil, whose recent Copa América form and head-to-head success keep them as credible challengers. Africa (3.5%), Asia (2.9%), North America (2.3%), and Oceania (0.3%) lag due to historical knockout struggles despite expanded slots and CAF/AFC depth; the April group draw positioned European giants favorably for advancement, solidifying the wisdom of crowds amid pre-tournament friendlies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于欧洲 73%
南美洲 21%
非洲 3.6%
亚洲 2.9%
$2,142,392 交易量
$2,142,392 交易量
欧洲
73%
南美洲
21%
非洲
4%
亚洲
3%
北美
2%
大洋洲
<1%
欧洲 73%
南美洲 21%
非洲 3.6%
亚洲 2.9%
$2,142,392 交易量
$2,142,392 交易量
欧洲
$150,430 交易量
73%
南美洲
$213,427 交易量
21%
非洲
$1,004,117 交易量
4%
亚洲
$259,871 交易量
3%
北美
$233,854 交易量
2%
大洋洲
$280,692 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at a dominant 72.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers including top-ranked powerhouses like Spain, France, England, Germany, Netherlands, and Italy—all securing spots through dominant group stage performances and playoff wins in late March qualifiers. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL's six strong entrants, headlined by defending champions Argentina and Brazil, whose recent Copa América form and head-to-head success keep them as credible challengers. Africa (3.5%), Asia (2.9%), North America (2.3%), and Oceania (0.3%) lag due to historical knockout struggles despite expanded slots and CAF/AFC depth; the April group draw positioned European giants favorably for advancement, solidifying the wisdom of crowds amid pre-tournament friendlies.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
交易量
$2,142,392市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at a dominant 72.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers including top-ranked powerhouses like Spain, France, England, Germany, Netherlands, and Italy—all securing spots through dominant group stage performances and playoff wins in late March qualifiers. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL's six strong entrants, headlined by defending champions Argentina and Brazil, whose recent Copa América form and head-to-head success keep them as credible challengers. Africa (3.5%), Asia (2.9%), North America (2.3%), and Oceania (0.3%) lag due to historical knockout struggles despite expanded slots and CAF/AFC depth; the April group draw positioned European giants favorably for advancement, solidifying the wisdom of crowds amid pre-tournament friendlies.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,142,392市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Europe at a dominant 72.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers including top-ranked powerhouses like Spain, France, England, Germany, Netherlands, and Italy—all securing spots through dominant group stage performances and playoff wins in late March qualifiers. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL's six strong entrants, headlined by defending champions Argentina and Brazil, whose recent Copa América form and head-to-head success keep them as credible challengers. Africa (3.5%), Asia (2.9%), North America (2.3%), and Oceania (0.3%) lag due to historical knockout struggles despite expanded slots and CAF/AFC depth; the April group draw positioned European giants favorably for advancement, solidifying the wisdom of crowds amid pre-tournament friendlies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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