Europe maintains its commanding position in the 2026 FIFA World Cup market due to an unmatched depth of qualified squads from UEFA nations, including established powers like France, Spain, England, and Germany alongside emerging contenders such as Portugal and the Netherlands. Recent qualification campaigns have confirmed sixteen European teams, many carrying strong recent form from domestic leagues and prior tournaments. South American sides like Argentina and Brazil continue to anchor the second tier through consistent CONMEBOL performances and individual talent pipelines. Markets assign lower probabilities to Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania because those confederations field fewer squads with comparable historical depth or current FIFA rankings momentum heading into the expanded 48-team format in North America.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于欧洲 73%
南美洲 21%
非洲 3.6%
亚洲 2.9%
$2,202,774 交易量
$2,202,774 交易量
欧洲
73%
南美洲
21%
非洲
4%
亚洲
3%
北美
2%
大洋洲
<1%
欧洲 73%
南美洲 21%
非洲 3.6%
亚洲 2.9%
$2,202,774 交易量
$2,202,774 交易量
欧洲
73%
南美洲
21%
非洲
4%
亚洲
3%
北美
2%
大洋洲
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe maintains its commanding position in the 2026 FIFA World Cup market due to an unmatched depth of qualified squads from UEFA nations, including established powers like France, Spain, England, and Germany alongside emerging contenders such as Portugal and the Netherlands. Recent qualification campaigns have confirmed sixteen European teams, many carrying strong recent form from domestic leagues and prior tournaments. South American sides like Argentina and Brazil continue to anchor the second tier through consistent CONMEBOL performances and individual talent pipelines. Markets assign lower probabilities to Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania because those confederations field fewer squads with comparable historical depth or current FIFA rankings momentum heading into the expanded 48-team format in North America.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题