Europe's commanding 71.5% implied probability reflects the continent's unmatched depth, with Spain, France, England, Portugal, and Germany occupying the top FIFA rankings and boasting extensive Champions League experience. South America's 21.5% share stems primarily from Argentina's defending-champion pedigree and Brazil's attacking talent, though CONMEBOL fields fewer elite sides overall. Lower probabilities for Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania align with their limited recent success at the highest level and shallower talent pools heading into the expanded 48-team tournament. Pre-tournament friendlies and stable rankings have reinforced this hierarchy without major shifts in the past week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于欧洲 72%
南美洲 22%
非洲 2.9%
亚洲 2.7%
$3,443,783 交易量
$3,443,783 交易量
欧洲
72%
南美洲
22%
非洲
3%
亚洲
3%
北美
3%
大洋洲
<1%
欧洲 72%
南美洲 22%
非洲 2.9%
亚洲 2.7%
$3,443,783 交易量
$3,443,783 交易量
欧洲
72%
南美洲
22%
非洲
3%
亚洲
3%
北美
3%
大洋洲
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe's commanding 71.5% implied probability reflects the continent's unmatched depth, with Spain, France, England, Portugal, and Germany occupying the top FIFA rankings and boasting extensive Champions League experience. South America's 21.5% share stems primarily from Argentina's defending-champion pedigree and Brazil's attacking talent, though CONMEBOL fields fewer elite sides overall. Lower probabilities for Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania align with their limited recent success at the highest level and shallower talent pools heading into the expanded 48-team tournament. Pre-tournament friendlies and stable rankings have reinforced this hierarchy without major shifts in the past week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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