California’s 22nd congressional district general election pits Republican incumbent David Valadao against Democrat Randy Villegas on November 3, 2026, following a June 2 top-two primary in which Valadao received 40.7% and Villegas advanced with 32.4%. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the Central Valley seat toward a more Democratic-leaning profile, narrowing the prior Republican edge and prompting most forecasters to rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic. A July poll showed Villegas ahead, while criticism of Valadao’s votes on Medicaid-related legislation in a high-enrollment district has added pressure. These factors, combined with the combined Democratic primary share exceeding 59%, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,192 交易量
$12,192 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
87%
共和党
14%
$12,192 交易量
$12,192 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,239 交易量
87%
共和党
$5,954 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 22nd congressional district general election pits Republican incumbent David Valadao against Democrat Randy Villegas on November 3, 2026, following a June 2 top-two primary in which Valadao received 40.7% and Villegas advanced with 32.4%. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the Central Valley seat toward a more Democratic-leaning profile, narrowing the prior Republican edge and prompting most forecasters to rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic. A July poll showed Villegas ahead, while criticism of Valadao’s votes on Medicaid-related legislation in a high-enrollment district has added pressure. These factors, combined with the combined Democratic primary share exceeding 59%, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ET
交易量
$12,192结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 22nd congressional district general election pits Republican incumbent David Valadao against Democrat Randy Villegas on November 3, 2026, following a June 2 top-two primary in which Valadao received 40.7% and Villegas advanced with 32.4%. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the Central Valley seat toward a more Democratic-leaning profile, narrowing the prior Republican edge and prompting most forecasters to rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic. A July poll showed Villegas ahead, while criticism of Valadao’s votes on Medicaid-related legislation in a high-enrollment district has added pressure. These factors, combined with the combined Democratic primary share exceeding 59%, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,192结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETCalifornia’s 22nd congressional district general election pits Republican incumbent David Valadao against Democrat Randy Villegas on November 3, 2026, following a June 2 top-two primary in which Valadao received 40.7% and Villegas advanced with 32.4%. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the Central Valley seat toward a more Democratic-leaning profile, narrowing the prior Republican edge and prompting most forecasters to rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic. A July poll showed Villegas ahead, while criticism of Valadao’s votes on Medicaid-related legislation in a high-enrollment district has added pressure. These factors, combined with the combined Democratic primary share exceeding 59%, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题