Petr Yan’s confirmed return from back surgery positions a trilogy bout with Merab Dvalishvili as the clear front-runner in bantamweight title contention, reflecting the UFC’s commitment to the rivalry after Yan reclaimed the belt via unanimous decision at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili’s dominant prior win and recent injury recovery timeline align with summer or August scheduling, driving the 73.5 percent implied probability as traders weigh the champion’s explicit endorsement of the matchup. Sean O’Malley sits at 13.6 percent amid speculation over a potential rematch, though his upcoming bout against Song Yadong and Yan’s focus on the Georgian challenger limit momentum. Rising contender Umar Nurmagomedov at 5.6 percent benefits from strong recent form but trails in official sequencing, while lower-probability names like Song Yadong and Dominick Cruz reflect division depth without immediate title-path clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Merab Dvalishvili 74%
肖恩·奥马利 13.3%
乌马尔·努尔马戈梅多夫 5.6%
宋亚东 1.0%
$1,039,754 交易量
$1,039,754 交易量
Merab Dvalishvili
74%
肖恩·奥马利
13%
乌马尔·努尔马戈梅多夫
6%
宋亚东
1%
多米尼克·克鲁兹
1%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基
1%
佩德罗·穆尼奥斯
1%
佩顿·塔尔博特
1%
亚历山大·潘托哈
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
罗布·丰特
<1%
里基·西蒙
<1%
亨利·赛胡多
<1%
科里·桑德哈根
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 74%
肖恩·奥马利 13.3%
乌马尔·努尔马戈梅多夫 5.6%
宋亚东 1.0%
$1,039,754 交易量
$1,039,754 交易量
Merab Dvalishvili
74%
肖恩·奥马利
13%
乌马尔·努尔马戈梅多夫
6%
宋亚东
1%
多米尼克·克鲁兹
1%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基
1%
佩德罗·穆尼奥斯
1%
佩顿·塔尔博特
1%
亚历山大·潘托哈
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
罗布·丰特
<1%
里基·西蒙
<1%
亨利·赛胡多
<1%
科里·桑德哈根
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan’s confirmed return from back surgery positions a trilogy bout with Merab Dvalishvili as the clear front-runner in bantamweight title contention, reflecting the UFC’s commitment to the rivalry after Yan reclaimed the belt via unanimous decision at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili’s dominant prior win and recent injury recovery timeline align with summer or August scheduling, driving the 73.5 percent implied probability as traders weigh the champion’s explicit endorsement of the matchup. Sean O’Malley sits at 13.6 percent amid speculation over a potential rematch, though his upcoming bout against Song Yadong and Yan’s focus on the Georgian challenger limit momentum. Rising contender Umar Nurmagomedov at 5.6 percent benefits from strong recent form but trails in official sequencing, while lower-probability names like Song Yadong and Dominick Cruz reflect division depth without immediate title-path clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题