The trader consensus overwhelmingly prices no player completing a calendar Grand Slam in 2026 at 99.9 percent, underscoring how rarely any ATP competitor sweeps the Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open in one season. Different surfaces, extended travel, and the need for peak physical condition across nine months create steep barriers, with even top-ranked players like Carlos Alcaraz facing risks of form slumps, injuries, or early exits in high-stakes draws. Historical patterns show no man has achieved this in the Open Era, keeping implied probabilities near zero. A realistic shift would require an injury-free campaign, flawless execution in every major, and favorable bracket outcomes, though such alignment remains exceptionally uncommon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$370,671 交易量
$370,671 交易量
无
100%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
<1%
$370,671 交易量
$370,671 交易量
无
100%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
<1%
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The trader consensus overwhelmingly prices no player completing a calendar Grand Slam in 2026 at 99.9 percent, underscoring how rarely any ATP competitor sweeps the Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open in one season. Different surfaces, extended travel, and the need for peak physical condition across nine months create steep barriers, with even top-ranked players like Carlos Alcaraz facing risks of form slumps, injuries, or early exits in high-stakes draws. Historical patterns show no man has achieved this in the Open Era, keeping implied probabilities near zero. A realistic shift would require an injury-free campaign, flawless execution in every major, and favorable bracket outcomes, though such alignment remains exceptionally uncommon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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