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icon for 2026年,习近平将清除谁?

2026年,习近平将清除谁?

icon for 2026年,习近平将清除谁?

2026年,习近平将清除谁?

$176,239 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$176,239 交易量

Polymarket

董军

$36,016 交易量

10%

赵乐际

$7,847 交易量

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$23,448 交易量

6%

蔡奇

$37,554 交易量

6%

王毅

$12,944 交易量

5%

丁薛祥

$14,913 交易量

5%

李希

$26,260 交易量

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王沪宁

$10,922 交易量

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李强

$6,372 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and loyalty enforcement drive purges across the People’s Liberation Army and senior CCP ranks, with the Central Military Commission reduced to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin after the January 2026 investigations of vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli. These followed October 2025 removals of nine senior officers, including vice chairman He Weidong and Political Work Department director Miao Hua, plus earlier Rocket Force and theater command cases. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 detention of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, underscore the reach into both military and civilian leadership. Traders focus on patterns of targeting Xi-appointed officers for alleged discipline violations, opacity in command structures, and preparations for the 2027 PLA modernization targets ahead of the 21st Party Congress.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.

2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).

Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.

A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$176,239
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and loyalty enforcement drive purges across the People’s Liberation Army and senior CCP ranks, with the Central Military Commission reduced to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin after the January 2026 investigations of vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli. These followed October 2025 removals of nine senior officers, including vice chairman He Weidong and Political Work Department director Miao Hua, plus earlier Rocket Force and theater command cases. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 detention of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, underscore the reach into both military and civilian leadership. Traders focus on patterns of targeting Xi-appointed officers for alleged discipline violations, opacity in command structures, and preparations for the 2027 PLA modernization targets ahead of the 21st Party Congress.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.

2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).

Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.

A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$176,239
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年,习近平将清除谁?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"董军",概率为 10%,其次是"赵乐际",概率为 8%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 10¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 10%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2026年,习近平将清除谁?"已产生 $176.2K 的总交易量(自Jan 29, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年,习近平将清除谁?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年,习近平将清除谁?"的当前领先者是"董军",概率为 10%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 10%。紧随其后的结果是"赵乐际",概率为 8%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年,习近平将清除谁?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。