Recent polling and the completion of Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic primary have reinforced trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the state’s competitive Third Congressional District. Rebecca Cooke secured the nomination and now faces incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in a rematch of the close 2024 contest in a district with a narrow partisan lean. Multiple surveys, including a late-June House Majority PAC poll, show Cooke ahead by small margins, while both candidates’ strong fundraising underscores the race’s battleground status. With the November 3 general election still months away, the implied probabilities reflect these early indicators alongside historical volatility in Wisconsin’s swing districts, where turnout patterns and national conditions could still shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
71%
共和党
27%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$2,599 交易量
71%
共和党
$1,464 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling and the completion of Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic primary have reinforced trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the state’s competitive Third Congressional District. Rebecca Cooke secured the nomination and now faces incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in a rematch of the close 2024 contest in a district with a narrow partisan lean. Multiple surveys, including a late-June House Majority PAC poll, show Cooke ahead by small margins, while both candidates’ strong fundraising underscores the race’s battleground status. With the November 3 general election still months away, the implied probabilities reflect these early indicators alongside historical volatility in Wisconsin’s swing districts, where turnout patterns and national conditions could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$4,063结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling and the completion of Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic primary have reinforced trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the state’s competitive Third Congressional District. Rebecca Cooke secured the nomination and now faces incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in a rematch of the close 2024 contest in a district with a narrow partisan lean. Multiple surveys, including a late-June House Majority PAC poll, show Cooke ahead by small margins, while both candidates’ strong fundraising underscores the race’s battleground status. With the November 3 general election still months away, the implied probabilities reflect these early indicators alongside historical volatility in Wisconsin’s swing districts, where turnout patterns and national conditions could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,063结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling and the completion of Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic primary have reinforced trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the state’s competitive Third Congressional District. Rebecca Cooke secured the nomination and now faces incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in a rematch of the close 2024 contest in a district with a narrow partisan lean. Multiple surveys, including a late-June House Majority PAC poll, show Cooke ahead by small margins, while both candidates’ strong fundraising underscores the race’s battleground status. With the November 3 general election still months away, the implied probabilities reflect these early indicators alongside historical volatility in Wisconsin’s swing districts, where turnout patterns and national conditions could still shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题