Elevated crude oil prices near $100 per barrel, driven by ongoing volatility in the Strait of Hormuz and Middle East supply disruptions, have pushed the national regular gasoline average to $4.44–$4.47 per gallon as of September 18, 2026, according to AAA data. This marks a rise of over $1.20 year-over-year, with the lowest state averages—Indiana at approximately $3.99, Mississippi at $3.96, and Louisiana near $4.00—remaining well above the $3.75 threshold. Strong demand, reported by the EIA at 8.79 million barrels per day, and limited near-term relief from inventories or policy shifts reinforce upward pressure on retail prices. Traders monitoring FOMC signals, weekly EIA releases, and any geopolitical de-escalation assess these fundamentals as the dominant factors sustaining elevated levels across all states.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-20
9月20日
15%
9月30日
36%
10月31日
17%
$526 交易量
9月20日
$278 交易量
15%
9月30日
$40 交易量
36%
10月31日
$208 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Elevated crude oil prices near $100 per barrel, driven by ongoing volatility in the Strait of Hormuz and Middle East supply disruptions, have pushed the national regular gasoline average to $4.44–$4.47 per gallon as of September 18, 2026, according to AAA data. This marks a rise of over $1.20 year-over-year, with the lowest state averages—Indiana at approximately $3.99, Mississippi at $3.96, and Louisiana near $4.00—remaining well above the $3.75 threshold. Strong demand, reported by the EIA at 8.79 million barrels per day, and limited near-term relief from inventories or policy shifts reinforce upward pressure on retail prices. Traders monitoring FOMC signals, weekly EIA releases, and any geopolitical de-escalation assess these fundamentals as the dominant factors sustaining elevated levels across all states.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
交易量
$526结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Elevated crude oil prices near $100 per barrel, driven by ongoing volatility in the Strait of Hormuz and Middle East supply disruptions, have pushed the national regular gasoline average to $4.44–$4.47 per gallon as of September 18, 2026, according to AAA data. This marks a rise of over $1.20 year-over-year, with the lowest state averages—Indiana at approximately $3.99, Mississippi at $3.96, and Louisiana near $4.00—remaining well above the $3.75 threshold. Strong demand, reported by the EIA at 8.79 million barrels per day, and limited near-term relief from inventories or policy shifts reinforce upward pressure on retail prices. Traders monitoring FOMC signals, weekly EIA releases, and any geopolitical de-escalation assess these fundamentals as the dominant factors sustaining elevated levels across all states.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
交易量
$526结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETElevated crude oil prices near $100 per barrel, driven by ongoing volatility in the Strait of Hormuz and Middle East supply disruptions, have pushed the national regular gasoline average to $4.44–$4.47 per gallon as of September 18, 2026, according to AAA data. This marks a rise of over $1.20 year-over-year, with the lowest state averages—Indiana at approximately $3.99, Mississippi at $3.96, and Louisiana near $4.00—remaining well above the $3.75 threshold. Strong demand, reported by the EIA at 8.79 million barrels per day, and limited near-term relief from inventories or policy shifts reinforce upward pressure on retail prices. Traders monitoring FOMC signals, weekly EIA releases, and any geopolitical de-escalation assess these fundamentals as the dominant factors sustaining elevated levels across all states.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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