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icon for 雅各布·考克森( Jacob Coxon )是否会在10月31日之前在国会公开作证?

雅各布·考克森( Jacob Coxon )是否会在10月31日之前在国会公开作证?

icon for 雅各布·考克森( Jacob Coxon )是否会在10月31日之前在国会公开作证?

雅各布·考克森( Jacob Coxon )是否会在10月31日之前在国会公开作证?

48% 概率
Polymarket
最新

48% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Coxon's September 8 resignation from Anthropic, citing existential risks from rapid AI development at both that firm and OpenAI, has prompted immediate bipartisan calls in Congress for hearings on AI safety and potential regulation. Lawmakers including Representatives Greg Casar, Lori Trahan, and Anna Paulina Luna have urged emergency sessions or legislation to address superintelligence concerns, creating momentum that could lead to a public appearance by the October 31 deadline. At the same time, no formal invitation or scheduling has been confirmed, congressional calendars face competing priorities, and questions have surfaced about coordination behind the viral statements, leaving traders evenly split on whether testimony will occur in time.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

“Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released.

The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$16
结束日期
2026-11-01
市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Coxon's September 8 resignation from Anthropic, citing existential risks from rapid AI development at both that firm and OpenAI, has prompted immediate bipartisan calls in Congress for hearings on AI safety and potential regulation. Lawmakers including Representatives Greg Casar, Lori Trahan, and Anna Paulina Luna have urged emergency sessions or legislation to address superintelligence concerns, creating momentum that could lead to a public appearance by the October 31 deadline. At the same time, no formal invitation or scheduling has been confirmed, congressional calendars face competing priorities, and questions have surfaced about coordination behind the viral statements, leaving traders evenly split on whether testimony will occur in time.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

“Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released.

The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Coxon provides public testimony before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “Public testimony” refers to any testimony that is publicly accessible live (in-person or remote) via official livestream, television broadcast, or other live audio/video distribution. Any testimony or deposition that is closed-door or otherwise not publicly accessible will not qualify, even if recordings or transcripts are later released. The resolution source for this market will be live video or audio of the testimony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$16
结束日期
2026-11-01
市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

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"雅各布·考克森( Jacob Coxon )是否会在10月31日之前在国会公开作证?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"雅各布·考克森会在10月31日之前公开在国会作证吗?",概率为 48%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 48¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 48%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"雅各布·考克森( Jacob Coxon )是否会在10月31日之前在国会公开作证?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 9, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"雅各布·考克森( Jacob Coxon )是否会在10月31日之前在国会公开作证?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"雅各布·考克森( Jacob Coxon )是否会在10月31日之前在国会公开作证?"的当前领先者是"雅各布·考克森会在10月31日之前公开在国会作证吗?",概率为 48%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 48%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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