Traders' near-unanimous 99.6% consensus against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30 reflects the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after over two years of RSF occupation, with no significant ground advances by RSF forces in the past year. Recent RSF drone strikes on Khartoum International Airport on May 4 and sporadic attacks underscore harassment tactics amid a broader military stalemate, as RSF consolidates in Darfur and Kordofan while SAF dominates central regions. With just six weeks remaining, the entrenched front lines and RSF's logistical constraints make a reversal improbable, though sudden external arms surges, leadership shifts, or SAF setbacks could theoretically shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$21,469 交易量
$21,469 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$21,469 交易量
$21,469 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Traders' near-unanimous 99.6% consensus against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30 reflects the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after over two years of RSF occupation, with no significant ground advances by RSF forces in the past year. Recent RSF drone strikes on Khartoum International Airport on May 4 and sporadic attacks underscore harassment tactics amid a broader military stalemate, as RSF consolidates in Darfur and Kordofan while SAF dominates central regions. With just six weeks remaining, the entrenched front lines and RSF's logistical constraints make a reversal improbable, though sudden external arms surges, leadership shifts, or SAF setbacks could theoretically shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
交易量
$21,469结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Traders' near-unanimous 99.6% consensus against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30 reflects the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after over two years of RSF occupation, with no significant ground advances by RSF forces in the past year. Recent RSF drone strikes on Khartoum International Airport on May 4 and sporadic attacks underscore harassment tactics amid a broader military stalemate, as RSF consolidates in Darfur and Kordofan while SAF dominates central regions. With just six weeks remaining, the entrenched front lines and RSF's logistical constraints make a reversal improbable, though sudden external arms surges, leadership shifts, or SAF setbacks could theoretically shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
交易量
$21,469结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' near-unanimous 99.6% consensus against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30 reflects the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025 after over two years of RSF occupation, with no significant ground advances by RSF forces in the past year. Recent RSF drone strikes on Khartoum International Airport on May 4 and sporadic attacks underscore harassment tactics amid a broader military stalemate, as RSF consolidates in Darfur and Kordofan while SAF dominates central regions. With just six weeks remaining, the entrenched front lines and RSF's logistical constraints make a reversal improbable, though sudden external arms surges, leadership shifts, or SAF setbacks could theoretically shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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