Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) grinds into its fourth year without a nationwide ceasefire, as recent U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's push for humanitarian pauses highlights stalled Jeddah and IGAD-mediated talks. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan's January rejection of negotiations until RSF defeat persists amid a military stalemate, with SAF holding Khartoum and the east while RSF controls Darfur and the west; clashes continued last week in South Kordofan near Dilling. Famine and the world's largest displacement crisis amplify calls for diplomacy, but entrenched territorial divides and external backing dim near-term truce prospects, with U.S.-led efforts eyeing renewed summits.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$92,656 交易量
2026-06-30
2026年6月30日
10%
2026年12月31日
16%
$92,656 交易量
2026年6月30日
$33,217 交易量
10%
2026年12月31日
$291 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) grinds into its fourth year without a nationwide ceasefire, as recent U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's push for humanitarian pauses highlights stalled Jeddah and IGAD-mediated talks. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan's January rejection of negotiations until RSF defeat persists amid a military stalemate, with SAF holding Khartoum and the east while RSF controls Darfur and the west; clashes continued last week in South Kordofan near Dilling. Famine and the world's largest displacement crisis amplify calls for diplomacy, but entrenched territorial divides and external backing dim near-term truce prospects, with U.S.-led efforts eyeing renewed summits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
交易量
$92,656结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) grinds into its fourth year without a nationwide ceasefire, as recent U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's push for humanitarian pauses highlights stalled Jeddah and IGAD-mediated talks. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan's January rejection of negotiations until RSF defeat persists amid a military stalemate, with SAF holding Khartoum and the east while RSF controls Darfur and the west; clashes continued last week in South Kordofan near Dilling. Famine and the world's largest displacement crisis amplify calls for diplomacy, but entrenched territorial divides and external backing dim near-term truce prospects, with U.S.-led efforts eyeing renewed summits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
交易量
$92,656结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) grinds into its fourth year without a nationwide ceasefire, as recent U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's push for humanitarian pauses highlights stalled Jeddah and IGAD-mediated talks. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan's January rejection of negotiations until RSF defeat persists amid a military stalemate, with SAF holding Khartoum and the east while RSF controls Darfur and the west; clashes continued last week in South Kordofan near Dilling. Famine and the world's largest displacement crisis amplify calls for diplomacy, but entrenched territorial divides and external backing dim near-term truce prospects, with U.S.-led efforts eyeing renewed summits.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题