Ongoing US-Iran military operations since February 2026 airstrikes, including repeated strikes on Iranian assets and a naval blockade tied to Strait of Hormuz control, have not prompted a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments center on stalled Iran-Oman talks, with Tehran conditioning any reopening on ending the US blockade, lifting sanctions, and receiving compensation, while the Trump administration emphasizes economic pressure and new preconditions for engagement. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding briefly paused major combat but unraveled amid renewed shipping attacks and US responses through early August. Constitutional authority requires Congress to declare war, a step historically avoided in favor of executive military actions, and current diplomatic and sanctions-focused approaches suggest traders view formal declaration as unlikely absent major escalation. Scheduled Hormuz negotiations and potential further strikes remain key near-term variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$7,763,872 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
3%
$7,763,872 交易量
12月31日
$791,238 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military operations since February 2026 airstrikes, including repeated strikes on Iranian assets and a naval blockade tied to Strait of Hormuz control, have not prompted a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments center on stalled Iran-Oman talks, with Tehran conditioning any reopening on ending the US blockade, lifting sanctions, and receiving compensation, while the Trump administration emphasizes economic pressure and new preconditions for engagement. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding briefly paused major combat but unraveled amid renewed shipping attacks and US responses through early August. Constitutional authority requires Congress to declare war, a step historically avoided in favor of executive military actions, and current diplomatic and sanctions-focused approaches suggest traders view formal declaration as unlikely absent major escalation. Scheduled Hormuz negotiations and potential further strikes remain key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,763,872结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military operations since February 2026 airstrikes, including repeated strikes on Iranian assets and a naval blockade tied to Strait of Hormuz control, have not prompted a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments center on stalled Iran-Oman talks, with Tehran conditioning any reopening on ending the US blockade, lifting sanctions, and receiving compensation, while the Trump administration emphasizes economic pressure and new preconditions for engagement. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding briefly paused major combat but unraveled amid renewed shipping attacks and US responses through early August. Constitutional authority requires Congress to declare war, a step historically avoided in favor of executive military actions, and current diplomatic and sanctions-focused approaches suggest traders view formal declaration as unlikely absent major escalation. Scheduled Hormuz negotiations and potential further strikes remain key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,763,872结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military operations since February 2026 airstrikes, including repeated strikes on Iranian assets and a naval blockade tied to Strait of Hormuz control, have not prompted a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments center on stalled Iran-Oman talks, with Tehran conditioning any reopening on ending the US blockade, lifting sanctions, and receiving compensation, while the Trump administration emphasizes economic pressure and new preconditions for engagement. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding briefly paused major combat but unraveled amid renewed shipping attacks and US responses through early August. Constitutional authority requires Congress to declare war, a step historically avoided in favor of executive military actions, and current diplomatic and sanctions-focused approaches suggest traders view formal declaration as unlikely absent major escalation. Scheduled Hormuz negotiations and potential further strikes remain key near-term variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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