President Trump’s March 2025 executive order directed downsizing of the Department of Education through staff reductions, function transfers to other agencies, and spending cuts, yet full elimination requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute. Core programs including federal student aid, Pell Grants, and special education funding have continued under the administration, while recent court orders have blocked some layoffs and restructuring steps. With Republicans holding narrow majorities, no bill abolishing the department has advanced to a floor vote, and the 2026 legislative calendar offers limited windows before the 2027 deadline. Traders price the 90.8% probability of “No” on these institutional and procedural barriers, consistent with the historical difficulty of dismantling cabinet-level agencies without supermajorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$10,681 交易量
$10,681 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$10,681 交易量
$10,681 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s March 2025 executive order directed downsizing of the Department of Education through staff reductions, function transfers to other agencies, and spending cuts, yet full elimination requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute. Core programs including federal student aid, Pell Grants, and special education funding have continued under the administration, while recent court orders have blocked some layoffs and restructuring steps. With Republicans holding narrow majorities, no bill abolishing the department has advanced to a floor vote, and the 2026 legislative calendar offers limited windows before the 2027 deadline. Traders price the 90.8% probability of “No” on these institutional and procedural barriers, consistent with the historical difficulty of dismantling cabinet-level agencies without supermajorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
交易量
$10,681结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s March 2025 executive order directed downsizing of the Department of Education through staff reductions, function transfers to other agencies, and spending cuts, yet full elimination requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute. Core programs including federal student aid, Pell Grants, and special education funding have continued under the administration, while recent court orders have blocked some layoffs and restructuring steps. With Republicans holding narrow majorities, no bill abolishing the department has advanced to a floor vote, and the 2026 legislative calendar offers limited windows before the 2027 deadline. Traders price the 90.8% probability of “No” on these institutional and procedural barriers, consistent with the historical difficulty of dismantling cabinet-level agencies without supermajorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$10,681结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s March 2025 executive order directed downsizing of the Department of Education through staff reductions, function transfers to other agencies, and spending cuts, yet full elimination requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute. Core programs including federal student aid, Pell Grants, and special education funding have continued under the administration, while recent court orders have blocked some layoffs and restructuring steps. With Republicans holding narrow majorities, no bill abolishing the department has advanced to a floor vote, and the 2026 legislative calendar offers limited windows before the 2027 deadline. Traders price the 90.8% probability of “No” on these institutional and procedural barriers, consistent with the historical difficulty of dismantling cabinet-level agencies without supermajorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题