Trader consensus reflects the complete absence of any federal charges, convictions, or legal exposure for Tiger Woods that could justify a presidential pardon by June 30. The legendary golfer maintains a clean public record with no ongoing cases, no administration signals, and no developments in the past month that would create momentum for such action. With the deadline now just weeks away, this lack of qualifying circumstances has solidified the overwhelming probability against a pardon. An unexpected indictment or plea before then could theoretically alter the outlook, though no indicators point to that path materializing.