**US-Iran relations remain shaped by the February 2026 conflict that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and elevated his son Mojtaba, amid ongoing hostilities, sanctions, and efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.** Trump has publicly signaled openness to a direct meeting or call with Mojtaba Khamenei if it advances a broader deal, while Iranian officials and the supreme leader’s advisers have repeatedly described such an encounter as unrealistic. Reports indicate Mojtaba Khamenei sustained serious injuries during the conflict and maintains a low public profile, with communication often occurring indirectly through President Masoud Pezeshkian or mediators. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding addressed some immediate issues via presidential channels, yet trader consensus reflects significant barriers—including personal and institutional animosity, verification challenges, and preference for lower-level diplomacy—that keep the probability of confirmed direct Trump-Mojtaba verbal contact low through late 2026. Scheduled diplomatic windows, such as UN General Assembly sessions, offer potential catalysts but have not produced leader-level talks to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$626,289 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
4%
$626,289 交易量
12月31日
$123,261 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US-Iran relations remain shaped by the February 2026 conflict that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and elevated his son Mojtaba, amid ongoing hostilities, sanctions, and efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.** Trump has publicly signaled openness to a direct meeting or call with Mojtaba Khamenei if it advances a broader deal, while Iranian officials and the supreme leader’s advisers have repeatedly described such an encounter as unrealistic. Reports indicate Mojtaba Khamenei sustained serious injuries during the conflict and maintains a low public profile, with communication often occurring indirectly through President Masoud Pezeshkian or mediators. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding addressed some immediate issues via presidential channels, yet trader consensus reflects significant barriers—including personal and institutional animosity, verification challenges, and preference for lower-level diplomacy—that keep the probability of confirmed direct Trump-Mojtaba verbal contact low through late 2026. Scheduled diplomatic windows, such as UN General Assembly sessions, offer potential catalysts but have not produced leader-level talks to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
交易量
$626,289结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 7:35 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US-Iran relations remain shaped by the February 2026 conflict that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and elevated his son Mojtaba, amid ongoing hostilities, sanctions, and efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.** Trump has publicly signaled openness to a direct meeting or call with Mojtaba Khamenei if it advances a broader deal, while Iranian officials and the supreme leader’s advisers have repeatedly described such an encounter as unrealistic. Reports indicate Mojtaba Khamenei sustained serious injuries during the conflict and maintains a low public profile, with communication often occurring indirectly through President Masoud Pezeshkian or mediators. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding addressed some immediate issues via presidential channels, yet trader consensus reflects significant barriers—including personal and institutional animosity, verification challenges, and preference for lower-level diplomacy—that keep the probability of confirmed direct Trump-Mojtaba verbal contact low through late 2026. Scheduled diplomatic windows, such as UN General Assembly sessions, offer potential catalysts but have not produced leader-level talks to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$626,289结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 7:35 PM ET**US-Iran relations remain shaped by the February 2026 conflict that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and elevated his son Mojtaba, amid ongoing hostilities, sanctions, and efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.** Trump has publicly signaled openness to a direct meeting or call with Mojtaba Khamenei if it advances a broader deal, while Iranian officials and the supreme leader’s advisers have repeatedly described such an encounter as unrealistic. Reports indicate Mojtaba Khamenei sustained serious injuries during the conflict and maintains a low public profile, with communication often occurring indirectly through President Masoud Pezeshkian or mediators. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding addressed some immediate issues via presidential channels, yet trader consensus reflects significant barriers—including personal and institutional animosity, verification challenges, and preference for lower-level diplomacy—that keep the probability of confirmed direct Trump-Mojtaba verbal contact low through late 2026. Scheduled diplomatic windows, such as UN General Assembly sessions, offer potential catalysts but have not produced leader-level talks to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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