Recent Middle East supply disruptions from the Iran-related conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global balances, prompting record U.S. crude exports exceeding 5 million barrels per day in April and driving weekly commercial inventory draws. The latest EIA data through May 8 showed stocks falling 4.3 million barrels to 452.9 million, exceeding expectations amid elevated demand for non-Middle East supply. The Energy Information Administration now projects an average 8.5 million barrel-per-day global draw in the second quarter, with U.S. production and export trends likely to sustain pressure on domestic levels through early June. The next weekly inventory release on May 20 and any shifts in regional production recovery or export flows will serve as key near-term catalysts for trader assessments of whether inventories reach the specified threshold by the resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$61,701 交易量
3.75亿
97%
3.5亿
27%
3.25亿
3%
3亿
3%
2.75亿
2%
$61,701 交易量
3.75亿
97%
3.5亿
27%
3.25亿
3%
3亿
3%
2.75亿
2%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before June 5, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before June 5 2026, by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
市场开放时间: Apr 10, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before June 5, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before June 5 2026, by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East supply disruptions from the Iran-related conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global balances, prompting record U.S. crude exports exceeding 5 million barrels per day in April and driving weekly commercial inventory draws. The latest EIA data through May 8 showed stocks falling 4.3 million barrels to 452.9 million, exceeding expectations amid elevated demand for non-Middle East supply. The Energy Information Administration now projects an average 8.5 million barrel-per-day global draw in the second quarter, with U.S. production and export trends likely to sustain pressure on domestic levels through early June. The next weekly inventory release on May 20 and any shifts in regional production recovery or export flows will serve as key near-term catalysts for trader assessments of whether inventories reach the specified threshold by the resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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