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温布尔登2026 :进入四分之一决赛的万能牌?

icon for 温布尔登2026 :进入四分之一决赛的万能牌?

温布尔登2026 :进入四分之一决赛的万能牌?

48% 概率
Polymarket
最新
48% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player listed as a wildcard reaches the Quarterfinals in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only players who are listed as wildcards will be considered. Players who received direct entry or advance through the qualifying tournament into the main men’s or women’s single tournaments of Wimbledon will not be considered. If no wildcards are admitted to the main tournament at Wimbledon, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, or postponed after July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Serena Williams’ late singles wildcard entry, announced days before the June 29 start, has tightened the market by injecting proven grass-court pedigree into a field otherwise populated by lower-ranked or returning players such as Nick Kyrgios, Alexander Bublik, and Dan Evans. Williams’ seven Wimbledon titles and serve-volley strengths create a plausible path to the quarterfinals despite her age and extended singles layoff, while Kyrgios’ 2022 final run and Bublik’s recent form add further upset potential on the fast surface. Counterbalancing factors include the historical rarity of wildcards advancing past the fourth round, recent injury concerns for several recipients, and the depth of the seeded draw. Any confirmed fitness updates, lead-in results on grass, or favorable early-round matchups could quickly shift implied probabilities in either direction before qualifying concludes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player listed as a wildcard reaches the Quarterfinals in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only players who are listed as wildcards will be considered. Players who received direct entry or advance through the qualifying tournament into the main men’s or women’s single tournaments of Wimbledon will not be considered.

If no wildcards are admitted to the main tournament at Wimbledon, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, or postponed after July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-07-12
市场开放时间
Jun 22, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player listed as a wildcard reaches the Quarterfinals in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only players who are listed as wildcards will be considered. Players who received direct entry or advance through the qualifying tournament into the main men’s or women’s single tournaments of Wimbledon will not be considered. If no wildcards are admitted to the main tournament at Wimbledon, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, or postponed after July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player listed as a wildcard reaches the Quarterfinals in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only players who are listed as wildcards will be considered. Players who received direct entry or advance through the qualifying tournament into the main men’s or women’s single tournaments of Wimbledon will not be considered. If no wildcards are admitted to the main tournament at Wimbledon, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, or postponed after July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Serena Williams’ late singles wildcard entry, announced days before the June 29 start, has tightened the market by injecting proven grass-court pedigree into a field otherwise populated by lower-ranked or returning players such as Nick Kyrgios, Alexander Bublik, and Dan Evans. Williams’ seven Wimbledon titles and serve-volley strengths create a plausible path to the quarterfinals despite her age and extended singles layoff, while Kyrgios’ 2022 final run and Bublik’s recent form add further upset potential on the fast surface. Counterbalancing factors include the historical rarity of wildcards advancing past the fourth round, recent injury concerns for several recipients, and the depth of the seeded draw. Any confirmed fitness updates, lead-in results on grass, or favorable early-round matchups could quickly shift implied probabilities in either direction before qualifying concludes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player listed as a wildcard reaches the Quarterfinals in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only players who are listed as wildcards will be considered. Players who received direct entry or advance through the qualifying tournament into the main men’s or women’s single tournaments of Wimbledon will not be considered.

If no wildcards are admitted to the main tournament at Wimbledon, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, or postponed after July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-07-12
市场开放时间
Jun 22, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player listed as a wildcard reaches the Quarterfinals in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only players who are listed as wildcards will be considered. Players who received direct entry or advance through the qualifying tournament into the main men’s or women’s single tournaments of Wimbledon will not be considered. If no wildcards are admitted to the main tournament at Wimbledon, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, or postponed after July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"温布尔登2026 :进入四分之一决赛的万能牌?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 48%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 48¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 48%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"温布尔登2026 :进入四分之一决赛的万能牌?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 22, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"温布尔登2026 :进入四分之一决赛的万能牌?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"温布尔登2026 :进入四分之一决赛的万能牌?"的当前概率为 48%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 48%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"温布尔登2026 :进入四分之一决赛的万能牌?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。