David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset victory over Francesca Hong in the August 11 primary, overcoming a polling deficit through strong Milwaukee turnout, last-minute re-entry backed by term-limited Governor Tony Evers, and positioning as a moderate county executive focused on cross-aisle governance. Tom Tiffany captured the Republican nomination without significant opposition after receiving President Trump’s endorsement. Wisconsin’s open-seat contest in a closely divided swing state features Crowley’s broad Democratic base and recent poll showing a slight general-election edge, while Tiffany’s strong conservative rural support and alignment with national Republican priorities provide his clearest path. Trader consensus reflects these structural and recent primary dynamics heading into the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$266,644 交易量
$266,644 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
76%
汤姆·蒂法尼（共和党）
24%
$266,644 交易量
$266,644 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$91,186 交易量
76%
汤姆·蒂法尼（共和党）
$175,458 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset victory over Francesca Hong in the August 11 primary, overcoming a polling deficit through strong Milwaukee turnout, last-minute re-entry backed by term-limited Governor Tony Evers, and positioning as a moderate county executive focused on cross-aisle governance. Tom Tiffany captured the Republican nomination without significant opposition after receiving President Trump’s endorsement. Wisconsin’s open-seat contest in a closely divided swing state features Crowley’s broad Democratic base and recent poll showing a slight general-election edge, while Tiffany’s strong conservative rural support and alignment with national Republican priorities provide his clearest path. Trader consensus reflects these structural and recent primary dynamics heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$266,644结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset victory over Francesca Hong in the August 11 primary, overcoming a polling deficit through strong Milwaukee turnout, last-minute re-entry backed by term-limited Governor Tony Evers, and positioning as a moderate county executive focused on cross-aisle governance. Tom Tiffany captured the Republican nomination without significant opposition after receiving President Trump’s endorsement. Wisconsin’s open-seat contest in a closely divided swing state features Crowley’s broad Democratic base and recent poll showing a slight general-election edge, while Tiffany’s strong conservative rural support and alignment with national Republican priorities provide his clearest path. Trader consensus reflects these structural and recent primary dynamics heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$266,644结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an upset victory over Francesca Hong in the August 11 primary, overcoming a polling deficit through strong Milwaukee turnout, last-minute re-entry backed by term-limited Governor Tony Evers, and positioning as a moderate county executive focused on cross-aisle governance. Tom Tiffany captured the Republican nomination without significant opposition after receiving President Trump’s endorsement. Wisconsin’s open-seat contest in a closely divided swing state features Crowley’s broad Democratic base and recent poll showing a slight general-election edge, while Tiffany’s strong conservative rural support and alignment with national Republican priorities provide his clearest path. Trader consensus reflects these structural and recent primary dynamics heading into the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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