The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team field and pre-tournament uncertainty keep the Fair Play Award race wide open, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around leading contenders as traders weigh historical disciplinary trends against expected playing styles. Possession-dominant sides like Spain and England have earned recent nods for minimizing fouls and cards through controlled build-up, while Colombia and Japan frequently post strong records via disciplined defending and fewer reckless challenges. Norway and other mid-tier European or Asian squads benefit from similar low-card profiles in qualifiers, though the award hinges on group-stage and knockout fair play points calculated from yellows, reds, and tiebreakers. With matches just starting June 11, roster depth, coaching tactics, and rivalry intensity across three host nations add volatility that prevents any single favorite from pulling clear in market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于世界杯：公平竞赛奖得主
世界杯：公平竞赛奖得主
Norway 24.1%
Japan 18.0%
France 16%
Belgium 15.8%
$52,363 交易量
$52,363 交易量
Norway
24%
Japan
17%
France
19%
Belgium
16%
Spain
16%
Mexico
11%
Brazil
9%
England
5%
Germany
5%
Argentina
4%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4%
South Korea
23%
Netherlands
3%
United States
2%
Portugal
16%
Croatia
21%
Uzbekistan
2%
New Zealand
21%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
1%
Ivory Coast
1%
Colombia
9%
South Africa
1%
Iran
18%
Canada
1%
Morocco
1%
Tunisia
1%
Haiti
1%
Senegal
1%
Türkiye
1%
Austria
1%
Ecuador
1%
Paraguay
1%
Scotland
1%
Australia
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Panama
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Norway 24.1%
Japan 18.0%
France 16%
Belgium 15.8%
$52,363 交易量
$52,363 交易量
Norway
24%
Japan
17%
France
19%
Belgium
16%
Spain
16%
Mexico
11%
Brazil
9%
England
5%
Germany
5%
Argentina
4%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4%
South Korea
23%
Netherlands
3%
United States
2%
Portugal
16%
Croatia
21%
Uzbekistan
2%
New Zealand
21%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
1%
Ivory Coast
1%
Colombia
9%
South Africa
1%
Iran
18%
Canada
1%
Morocco
1%
Tunisia
1%
Haiti
1%
Senegal
1%
Türkiye
1%
Austria
1%
Ecuador
1%
Paraguay
1%
Scotland
1%
Australia
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Panama
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 3, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team field and pre-tournament uncertainty keep the Fair Play Award race wide open, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around leading contenders as traders weigh historical disciplinary trends against expected playing styles. Possession-dominant sides like Spain and England have earned recent nods for minimizing fouls and cards through controlled build-up, while Colombia and Japan frequently post strong records via disciplined defending and fewer reckless challenges. Norway and other mid-tier European or Asian squads benefit from similar low-card profiles in qualifiers, though the award hinges on group-stage and knockout fair play points calculated from yellows, reds, and tiebreakers. With matches just starting June 11, roster depth, coaching tactics, and rivalry intensity across three host nations add volatility that prevents any single favorite from pulling clear in market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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