Germany enters the 2026 World Cup with a squad blending elite attacking talent such as Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz alongside experienced leaders like Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rüdiger, and returning goalkeeper Manuel Neuer under Julian Nagelsmann. Recent preparations in North Carolina, squad finalization, and strong qualification results have lifted confidence after group-stage exits in 2018 and 2022, supporting trader consensus that an early group-stage elimination remains unlikely. Fitness questions around Musiala and striker options, combined with limited historical depth at major tournaments, keep probabilities elevated for elimination in the round of 32 or round of 16 while capping deeper runs. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these variables alongside the expanded 48-team format and group draw.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Round of 16 33%
Round of 32 26%
Quarterfinals 17%
Semifinals 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-19
Group Stage
3%
Round of 32
26%
Round of 16
33%
Quarterfinals
17%
Semifinals
12%
Final
7%
Champion
5%
Round of 16 33%
Round of 32 26%
Quarterfinals 17%
Semifinals 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-19
Group Stage
$497 交易量
3%
Round of 32
$540 交易量
26%
Round of 16
$161 交易量
33%
Quarterfinals
$128 交易量
17%
Semifinals
$0 交易量
12%
Final
$10 交易量
7%
Champion
$270 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Germany enters the 2026 World Cup with a squad blending elite attacking talent such as Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz alongside experienced leaders like Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rüdiger, and returning goalkeeper Manuel Neuer under Julian Nagelsmann. Recent preparations in North Carolina, squad finalization, and strong qualification results have lifted confidence after group-stage exits in 2018 and 2022, supporting trader consensus that an early group-stage elimination remains unlikely. Fitness questions around Musiala and striker options, combined with limited historical depth at major tournaments, keep probabilities elevated for elimination in the round of 32 or round of 16 while capping deeper runs. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these variables alongside the expanded 48-team format and group draw.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 7, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
交易量
$1,605结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 1:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Germany enters the 2026 World Cup with a squad blending elite attacking talent such as Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz alongside experienced leaders like Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rüdiger, and returning goalkeeper Manuel Neuer under Julian Nagelsmann. Recent preparations in North Carolina, squad finalization, and strong qualification results have lifted confidence after group-stage exits in 2018 and 2022, supporting trader consensus that an early group-stage elimination remains unlikely. Fitness questions around Musiala and striker options, combined with limited historical depth at major tournaments, keep probabilities elevated for elimination in the round of 32 or round of 16 while capping deeper runs. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these variables alongside the expanded 48-team format and group draw.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Germany is eliminated. If Germany wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,605结束日期
2026-07-19市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 1:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Germany enters the 2026 World Cup with a squad blending elite attacking talent such as Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz alongside experienced leaders like Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rüdiger, and returning goalkeeper Manuel Neuer under Julian Nagelsmann. Recent preparations in North Carolina, squad finalization, and strong qualification results have lifted confidence after group-stage exits in 2018 and 2022, supporting trader consensus that an early group-stage elimination remains unlikely. Fitness questions around Musiala and striker options, combined with limited historical depth at major tournaments, keep probabilities elevated for elimination in the round of 32 or round of 16 while capping deeper runs. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these variables alongside the expanded 48-team format and group draw.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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