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Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Lionel Messi 52.0%

Kylian Mbappe 21%

Erling Haaland 7%

Ousmane Dembele 6.3%

Polymarket

$36,225,436 交易量

Lionel Messi 52.0%

Kylian Mbappe 21%

Erling Haaland 7%

Ousmane Dembele 6.3%

Polymarket

$36,225,436 交易量

Lionel Messi

$1,185,289 交易量

52%

Kylian Mbappe

$1,358,090 交易量

21%

Erling Haaland

$911,027 交易量

7%

Ousmane Dembele

$1,275,882 交易量

6%

Vinicius Junior

$698,556 交易量

5%

Harry Kane

$891,172 交易量

5%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$1,312,838 交易量

1%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$984,939 交易量

1%

Deniz Undav

$679,697 交易量

1%

Lamine Yamal

$877,736 交易量

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$637,577 交易量

<1%

Cody Gakpo

$1,760,387 交易量

<1%

Kai Havertz

$624,947 交易量

<1%

Michael Olise

$2,131,881 交易量

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$596,841 交易量

<1%

Folarin Balogun

$416,038 交易量

<1%

Raphinha

$356,226 交易量

<1%

Noah Okafor

$326,408 交易量

<1%

Scott McTominay

$292,882 交易量

<1%

Rodrygo

$262,789 交易量

<1%

Amad Diallo

$675,529 交易量

<1%

Heung-Min Son

$324,299 交易量

<1%

Edin Džeko

$286,543 交易量

<1%

Igor Thiago

$1,627,557 交易量

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$212,871 交易量

<1%

Viktor Gyökeres

$418,036 交易量

<1%

Ferran Torres

$538,100 交易量

<1%

Marcus Thuram

$178,559 交易量

<1%

Luis Diaz

$451,771 交易量

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$260,525 交易量

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$247,767 交易量

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$443,963 交易量

<1%

Dani Olmo

$436,403 交易量

<1%

Desire Doue

$682,793 交易量

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$1,005,056 交易量

<1%

Sadio Mane

$299,173 交易量

<1%

Rafael Leao

$835,635 交易量

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$1,552,245 交易量

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$456,393 交易量

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$428,260 交易量

<1%

Pedri

$490,005 交易量

<1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$582,090 交易量

<1%

Romelu Lukaku

$1,428,077 交易量

<1%

Donyell Malen

$720,499 交易量

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$484,118 交易量

<1%

Dion Beljo

$154,558 交易量

<1%

Endrick

$693,806 交易量

<1%

Florian Wirtz

$474,381 交易量

<1%

Memphis Depay

$332,879 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$36,225,436
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$36,225,436
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"World Cup: Golden Boot Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 52+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Lionel Messi"，概率为 52%，其次是"Kylian Mbappe"，概率为 21%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 52¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 52%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"World Cup: Golden Boot Winner"已产生 $36.2 million 的总交易量（自Apr 24, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"World Cup: Golden Boot Winner"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 52+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"World Cup: Golden Boot Winner"的当前领先者是"Lionel Messi"，概率为 52%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 52%。紧随其后的结果是"Kylian Mbappe"，概率为 21%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"World Cup: Golden Boot Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。