Saudi Arabia enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group H alongside Spain, Uruguay, and Cape Verde, a draw that heavily shapes the market's 66% implied probability on a group-stage exit. The Green Falcons sit at 61st in the FIFA rankings and have shown inconsistent recent form, including a 0-4 loss to Egypt, defeats to Serbia and Ecuador, and mixed results against lesser opposition in pre-tournament friendlies. A late managerial change from Hervé Renard to Georgios Donis has added uncertainty to tactics and cohesion. While Saudi Arabia retains upset potential demonstrated in 2022 and could advance with results against Uruguay or Cape Verde, the combination of elite opponents, schedule demands, and performance risks in warmer venues positions early elimination as the dominant trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Group Stage 66%
Round of 32 22%
Round of 16 3.8%
Final 3.3%
Group Stage
66%
Round of 32
22%
Round of 16
4%
Final
3%
Quarterfinals
1%
Champion
1%
Semifinals
1%
Group Stage 66%
Round of 32 22%
Round of 16 3.8%
Final 3.3%
Group Stage
66%
Round of 32
22%
Round of 16
4%
Final
3%
Quarterfinals
1%
Champion
1%
Semifinals
1%
If Saudi Arabia is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Saudi Arabia based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jun 7, 2026, 12:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Saudi Arabia is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Saudi Arabia based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Saudi Arabia enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group H alongside Spain, Uruguay, and Cape Verde, a draw that heavily shapes the market's 66% implied probability on a group-stage exit. The Green Falcons sit at 61st in the FIFA rankings and have shown inconsistent recent form, including a 0-4 loss to Egypt, defeats to Serbia and Ecuador, and mixed results against lesser opposition in pre-tournament friendlies. A late managerial change from Hervé Renard to Georgios Donis has added uncertainty to tactics and cohesion. While Saudi Arabia retains upset potential demonstrated in 2022 and could advance with results against Uruguay or Cape Verde, the combination of elite opponents, schedule demands, and performance risks in warmer venues positions early elimination as the dominant trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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