The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage opens with 48 nations split into 12 groups of four, where the top two finishers plus the eight strongest third-placed sides advance to the Round of 32. Trader consensus heavily favors established powers such as Spain, Argentina, Brazil, Germany, and England, reflecting their superior squad depth, recent international form, and favorable group draws against lower-ranked opponents. Pre-tournament power rankings and betting markets highlight these sides' consistent ability to secure points in opening fixtures, while underdogs face steeper paths dependent on upsets or third-place tiebreakers involving goal difference. Early matches will quickly clarify momentum, rest advantages, and any injury concerns that could shift implied probabilities for borderline contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,522,549 交易量
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
France
97%
England
96%
Germany
96%
Portugal
96%
Argentina
96%
Belgium
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
91%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
80%
Japan
79%
Egypt
72%
Senegal
71%
South Korea
70%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Sweden
63%
Iran
61%
Ghana
51%
Australia
46%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Qatar
21%
Jordan
20%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
$1,522,549 交易量
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
France
97%
England
96%
Germany
96%
Portugal
96%
Argentina
96%
Belgium
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
91%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
80%
Japan
79%
Egypt
72%
Senegal
71%
South Korea
70%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Sweden
63%
Iran
61%
Ghana
51%
Australia
46%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Qatar
21%
Jordan
20%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage opens with 48 nations split into 12 groups of four, where the top two finishers plus the eight strongest third-placed sides advance to the Round of 32. Trader consensus heavily favors established powers such as Spain, Argentina, Brazil, Germany, and England, reflecting their superior squad depth, recent international form, and favorable group draws against lower-ranked opponents. Pre-tournament power rankings and betting markets highlight these sides' consistent ability to secure points in opening fixtures, while underdogs face steeper paths dependent on upsets or third-place tiebreakers involving goal difference. Early matches will quickly clarify momentum, rest advantages, and any injury concerns that could shift implied probabilities for borderline contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题