Strong squads from traditional powers such as Spain, France, Brazil, Argentina, and England enter the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage with recent unbeaten qualifying runs and favorable group draws featuring lower-ranked opponents. Early results from June 11, including Mexico’s 2-0 win over South Africa and South Korea’s 2-1 victory against Czechia, highlight how co-hosts and solid mid-tier sides can build momentum. Key upcoming factors include fixture congestion across the expanded 48-team format, potential rotation by managers to manage player fitness, and the relative strength of groups like those containing the Netherlands or Portugal. The wisdom of crowds in prediction markets reflects these elements through implied probabilities tied to historical group-stage dominance by top-ranked nations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Switzerland
59%
France
55%
Germany
53%
Mexico
52%
Brazil
52%
Scotland
51%
Algeria
51%
Portugal
50%
Spain
50%
United States
40%
Canada
39%
South Korea
39%
Paraguay
23%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
15%
Norway
12%
Croatia
11%
Japan
27%
Türkiye
26%
Austria
23%
Morocco
26%
Tunisia
13%
DR Congo
7%
Iran
7%
Australia
7%
Cape Verde
7%
Sweden
7%
Iraq
7%
Ecuador
6%
Ivory Coast
18%
Uzbekistan
6%
Jordan
6%
Panama
5%
Uruguay
5%
Senegal
5%
Ghana
4%
Haiti
3%
Saudi Arabia
3%
Qatar
3%
Curaçao
3%
New Zealand
2%
England
49%
Netherlands
44%
Colombia
52%
Argentina
44%
Belgium
50%
Egypt
50%
$2,094 交易量
Switzerland
59%
France
55%
Germany
53%
Mexico
52%
Brazil
52%
Scotland
51%
Algeria
51%
Portugal
50%
Spain
50%
United States
40%
Canada
39%
South Korea
39%
Paraguay
23%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
15%
Norway
12%
Croatia
11%
Japan
27%
Türkiye
26%
Austria
23%
Morocco
26%
Tunisia
13%
DR Congo
7%
Iran
7%
Australia
7%
Cape Verde
7%
Sweden
7%
Iraq
7%
Ecuador
6%
Ivory Coast
18%
Uzbekistan
6%
Jordan
6%
Panama
5%
Uruguay
5%
Senegal
5%
Ghana
4%
Haiti
3%
Saudi Arabia
3%
Qatar
3%
Curaçao
3%
New Zealand
2%
England
49%
Netherlands
44%
Colombia
52%
Argentina
44%
Belgium
50%
Egypt
50%
For the purpose of this market, “unbeaten” is defined as having not recorded a loss; a drawn match counts as unbeaten. A listed team that is eliminated, disqualified, or withdraws before completing all three group matches will resolve “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the group stage unbeaten (e.g. they record a loss), the associated market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or official group stage results are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, “unbeaten” is defined as having not recorded a loss; a drawn match counts as unbeaten. A listed team that is eliminated, disqualified, or withdraws before completing all three group matches will resolve “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the group stage unbeaten (e.g. they record a loss), the associated market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or official group stage results are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Strong squads from traditional powers such as Spain, France, Brazil, Argentina, and England enter the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage with recent unbeaten qualifying runs and favorable group draws featuring lower-ranked opponents. Early results from June 11, including Mexico’s 2-0 win over South Africa and South Korea’s 2-1 victory against Czechia, highlight how co-hosts and solid mid-tier sides can build momentum. Key upcoming factors include fixture congestion across the expanded 48-team format, potential rotation by managers to manage player fitness, and the relative strength of groups like those containing the Netherlands or Portugal. The wisdom of crowds in prediction markets reflects these elements through implied probabilities tied to historical group-stage dominance by top-ranked nations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题