The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format, featuring 48 teams across 104 matches, sets a significantly higher baseline for total goals than prior editions with only 64 games. Historical scoring rates of roughly 2.6–2.8 goals per match, combined with the presence of prolific attackers such as Kylian Mbappé, Erling Haaland, and Harry Kane in strong recent club and international form, underpin trader expectations that the tournament will comfortably surpass 264.5 goals. Early group-stage previews and expected-goals models highlight more open contests against weaker sides, further elevating projected output. The 83.5% implied probability on the Over reflects this structural shift and offensive depth rather than any single recent result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Over
Over
If at any point it becomes mathematically impossible for the tournament to reach 265 total goals given the number of matches remaining, this market will resolve to "Under".
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the more than listed number of goals to be scored, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined goals total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used."
市场开放时间: Jun 8, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes mathematically impossible for the tournament to reach 265 total goals given the number of matches remaining, this market will resolve to "Under".
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the more than listed number of goals to be scored, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined goals total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used."
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format, featuring 48 teams across 104 matches, sets a significantly higher baseline for total goals than prior editions with only 64 games. Historical scoring rates of roughly 2.6–2.8 goals per match, combined with the presence of prolific attackers such as Kylian Mbappé, Erling Haaland, and Harry Kane in strong recent club and international form, underpin trader expectations that the tournament will comfortably surpass 264.5 goals. Early group-stage previews and expected-goals models highlight more open contests against weaker sides, further elevating projected output. The 83.5% implied probability on the Over reflects this structural shift and offensive depth rather than any single recent result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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