Former President Yoon Suk-yeol received a life sentence in February 2026 for insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, following his impeachment removal and multiple related convictions including a separate five-year term. He remains held at Seoul Detention Center under extended detention warrants, with ongoing trials on additional charges from the same events. South Korea's appeals process for such high-profile cases, combined with the severity of the sentences, creates substantial procedural and legal barriers to any release by the market's December 31, 2026 cutoff. These confirmed judicial outcomes underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.6% implied probability on "No," as near-term pardon or acquittal scenarios lack supporting developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
5% 概率
$183,974 交易量
$183,974 交易量
2026-12-31
是
5% 概率
$183,974 交易量
$183,974 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Yoon Suk-yeol received a life sentence in February 2026 for insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, following his impeachment removal and multiple related convictions including a separate five-year term. He remains held at Seoul Detention Center under extended detention warrants, with ongoing trials on additional charges from the same events. South Korea's appeals process for such high-profile cases, combined with the severity of the sentences, creates substantial procedural and legal barriers to any release by the market's December 31, 2026 cutoff. These confirmed judicial outcomes underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.6% implied probability on "No," as near-term pardon or acquittal scenarios lack supporting developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
交易量
$183,974结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Yoon Suk-yeol received a life sentence in February 2026 for insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, following his impeachment removal and multiple related convictions including a separate five-year term. He remains held at Seoul Detention Center under extended detention warrants, with ongoing trials on additional charges from the same events. South Korea's appeals process for such high-profile cases, combined with the severity of the sentences, creates substantial procedural and legal barriers to any release by the market's December 31, 2026 cutoff. These confirmed judicial outcomes underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.6% implied probability on "No," as near-term pardon or acquittal scenarios lack supporting developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$183,974结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former President Yoon Suk-yeol received a life sentence in February 2026 for insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, following his impeachment removal and multiple related convictions including a separate five-year term. He remains held at Seoul Detention Center under extended detention warrants, with ongoing trials on additional charges from the same events. South Korea's appeals process for such high-profile cases, combined with the severity of the sentences, creates substantial procedural and legal barriers to any release by the market's December 31, 2026 cutoff. These confirmed judicial outcomes underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.6% implied probability on "No," as near-term pardon or acquittal scenarios lack supporting developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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