South Korea’s former President Yoon Suk-yeol faces multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a February 2026 life sentence for insurrection that remains under appeal. A July 2026 Supreme Court ruling upheld a separate seven-year term for resisting arrest, while additional sentences for related charges have extended his detention at the Seoul Detention Centre. With appeals processes ongoing and no successful bail or release orders issued since mid-2026, traders assign a 94.6% probability he will remain in custody through the end of 2026. These outcomes reflect institutional accountability measures and the timeline for final judicial resolution in high-profile cases involving former heads of state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$183,974 交易量
$183,974 交易量
是
$183,974 交易量
$183,974 交易量
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s former President Yoon Suk-yeol faces multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a February 2026 life sentence for insurrection that remains under appeal. A July 2026 Supreme Court ruling upheld a separate seven-year term for resisting arrest, while additional sentences for related charges have extended his detention at the Seoul Detention Centre. With appeals processes ongoing and no successful bail or release orders issued since mid-2026, traders assign a 94.6% probability he will remain in custody through the end of 2026. These outcomes reflect institutional accountability measures and the timeline for final judicial resolution in high-profile cases involving former heads of state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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