The near-certain trader consensus against revocation of Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship before 2027 rests on the narrow statutory grounds and rigorous federal process required for denaturalization, which demands proven immigration fraud or material misrepresentation during naturalization and must be pursued through Department of Justice civil or criminal proceedings in federal court. No such investigations, indictments, or administrative actions involving Mamdani have been reported in the past year, consistent with his status as a sitting New York State Assembly member with long-settled citizenship. Historical precedent shows successful revocations remain infrequent even amid heightened enforcement priorities. Any reversal would require newly surfaced evidence triggering DOJ review or policy shifts under a future administration, both of which face extended litigation timelines and high evidentiary thresholds unlikely to conclude before 2027.