High trader consensus that Zohran Mamdani’s U.S. citizenship will not be revoked before 2027 reflects the narrow statutory grounds and lengthy judicial process required for denaturalization. Federal law limits revocation to cases involving proven fraud, concealment of material facts, or specific criminal conduct during the naturalization process, with the Department of Justice bearing the burden in federal court. No pending investigations, indictments, or administrative actions targeting Mamdani have been reported in recent months. Any shift would require new verifiable evidence and successful litigation, outcomes that remain rare even under changing administrations. Late-breaking disclosures or policy directives could theoretically alter probabilities, yet historical patterns show such cases proceed slowly and succeed infrequently.