Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s mayor and a naturalized U.S. citizen since 2018 after arriving from Uganda as a child, faces no active denaturalization proceedings despite earlier partisan calls for investigation into his application. U.S. law requires the Department of Justice to prove in federal court either illegal procurement or a willful, material misrepresentation that would have altered the 2018 outcome, a high evidentiary bar met in only rare cases. No credible evidence of fraud has emerged, and the process typically demands years of litigation rather than swift resolution. Trader consensus at 99.7 percent “No” reflects these structural barriers and the absence of new developments in 2026. Late-breaking verified proof of concealment or an expedited criminal conviction could theoretically shift the outcome before 2027, though both remain remote.