Early May 2026 global temperature anomalies are tracking toward the 1.10–1.14 °C range above the 1850–1900 baseline according to preliminary Copernicus and NOAA data, positioning the month as the likely second-warmest on record. This outcome reflects the persistent long-term warming trend superimposed on the post-El Niño transition from the strong 2023–2024 event, which has moderated peak anomalies while keeping monthly values well above historical norms. April 2026 ranked fourth-warmest globally, and March tied for second, establishing a warm baseline that early May observations continue without crossing into record territory. Traders assign the highest implied probability to second place because model consensus and observational trends show limited scope for either a new high or a drop below third, with final resolution dependent on late-month sea-surface temperatures and official dataset confirmation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2nd hottest 67%
1st hottest 27%
3rd hottest 5.1%
4th or lower 1.0%
$104,835 Vol.
$104,835 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
1st hottest
27%
2nd hottest
67%
3rd hottest
5%
4th or lower
1%
2nd hottest 67%
1st hottest 27%
3rd hottest 5.1%
4th or lower 1.0%
$104,835 Vol.
$104,835 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
1st hottest
$11,838 Vol.
27%
2nd hottest
$3,384 Vol.
67%
3rd hottest
$39,537 Vol.
5%
4th or lower
$50,077 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Early May 2026 global temperature anomalies are tracking toward the 1.10–1.14 °C range above the 1850–1900 baseline according to preliminary Copernicus and NOAA data, positioning the month as the likely second-warmest on record. This outcome reflects the persistent long-term warming trend superimposed on the post-El Niño transition from the strong 2023–2024 event, which has moderated peak anomalies while keeping monthly values well above historical norms. April 2026 ranked fourth-warmest globally, and March tied for second, establishing a warm baseline that early May observations continue without crossing into record territory. Traders assign the highest implied probability to second place because model consensus and observational trends show limited scope for either a new high or a drop below third, with final resolution dependent on late-month sea-surface temperatures and official dataset confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
ভলিউম
$104,835শেষ তারিখ
Jun 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Early May 2026 global temperature anomalies are tracking toward the 1.10–1.14 °C range above the 1850–1900 baseline according to preliminary Copernicus and NOAA data, positioning the month as the likely second-warmest on record. This outcome reflects the persistent long-term warming trend superimposed on the post-El Niño transition from the strong 2023–2024 event, which has moderated peak anomalies while keeping monthly values well above historical norms. April 2026 ranked fourth-warmest globally, and March tied for second, establishing a warm baseline that early May observations continue without crossing into record territory. Traders assign the highest implied probability to second place because model consensus and observational trends show limited scope for either a new high or a drop below third, with final resolution dependent on late-month sea-surface temperatures and official dataset confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
ভলিউম
$104,835শেষ তারিখ
Jun 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early May 2026 global temperature anomalies are tracking toward the 1.10–1.14 °C range above the 1850–1900 baseline according to preliminary Copernicus and NOAA data, positioning the month as the likely second-warmest on record. This outcome reflects the persistent long-term warming trend superimposed on the post-El Niño transition from the strong 2023–2024 event, which has moderated peak anomalies while keeping monthly values well above historical norms. April 2026 ranked fourth-warmest globally, and March tied for second, establishing a warm baseline that early May observations continue without crossing into record territory. Traders assign the highest implied probability to second place because model consensus and observational trends show limited scope for either a new high or a drop below third, with final resolution dependent on late-month sea-surface temperatures and official dataset confirmation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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