Persistent monthly inflation near 2.9 percent has sustained the peso’s crawling-band depreciation under the Milei administration’s January 2026 regime, lifting the official USD/ARS rate from roughly 1,395 in early May toward levels that position the 1,600-plus bracket at a 44 percent implied probability. Analyst consensus now projects full-year 2026 inflation of 30–33 percent, while the central bank accumulates reserves ahead of nearly 20 billion dollars in maturing obligations, reinforcing expectations for continued nominal weakening. A recent Fitch upgrade to B- and improved fiscal balances have tempered tail risks, yet the remaining gap to the parallel rate and sticky utility-price adjustments continue to support the market’s heaviest weighting on the 1,550–1,599 and 1,500–1,549 ranges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডArgentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
1600.00+ 44%
1400.00–1449.99 19.1%
1550.00–1599.99 19.0%
1500.00–1549.99 17.4%
<1250.00
2%
1250.00–1299.99
5%
1300.00–1349.99
5%
1350.00–1399.99
12%
1400.00–1449.99
11%
1450.00–1499.99
3%
1500.00–1549.99
23%
1550.00–1599.99
24%
1600.00+
44%
1600.00+ 44%
1400.00–1449.99 19.1%
1550.00–1599.99 19.0%
1500.00–1549.99 17.4%
<1250.00
2%
1250.00–1299.99
5%
1300.00–1349.99
5%
1350.00–1399.99
12%
1400.00–1449.99
11%
1450.00–1499.99
3%
1500.00–1549.99
23%
1550.00–1599.99
24%
1600.00+
44%
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Persistent monthly inflation near 2.9 percent has sustained the peso’s crawling-band depreciation under the Milei administration’s January 2026 regime, lifting the official USD/ARS rate from roughly 1,395 in early May toward levels that position the 1,600-plus bracket at a 44 percent implied probability. Analyst consensus now projects full-year 2026 inflation of 30–33 percent, while the central bank accumulates reserves ahead of nearly 20 billion dollars in maturing obligations, reinforcing expectations for continued nominal weakening. A recent Fitch upgrade to B- and improved fiscal balances have tempered tail risks, yet the remaining gap to the parallel rate and sticky utility-price adjustments continue to support the market’s heaviest weighting on the 1,550–1,599 and 1,500–1,549 ranges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা