Argentina's ongoing stabilization under President Milei's crawling-peg regime with an inflation-linked exchange-rate band continues to anchor trader expectations for the official ARS/USD rate by December 2026. Recent central-bank surveys showing 2026 inflation around 30 percent, paired with steady reserve accumulation and IMF-backed liquidity support, have reinforced confidence that depreciation will remain gradual rather than abrupt. This backdrop underpins the 35.5 percent market-implied probability on rates below 1,600, while the modest 18 percent odds on the 1,600–1,699 bracket reflect ongoing uncertainty around oil shocks and fiscal execution. Strong GDP growth forecasts near 3.5 percent and renewed foreign-direct-investment commitments further limit the scope for sharp peso weakness through year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$18,372 Vol.
$18,372 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1600.00
46%
1600.00–1699.99
17%
1700.00–1799.99
11%
1800.00–1899.99
4%
1900.00–1999.99
2%
2000.00+
7%
$18,372 Vol.
$18,372 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1600.00
$1,911 Vol.
46%
1600.00–1699.99
$1,465 Vol.
17%
1700.00–1799.99
$1,192 Vol.
11%
1800.00–1899.99
$1,114 Vol.
4%
1900.00–1999.99
$11,260 Vol.
2%
2000.00+
$1,430 Vol.
7%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's ongoing stabilization under President Milei's crawling-peg regime with an inflation-linked exchange-rate band continues to anchor trader expectations for the official ARS/USD rate by December 2026. Recent central-bank surveys showing 2026 inflation around 30 percent, paired with steady reserve accumulation and IMF-backed liquidity support, have reinforced confidence that depreciation will remain gradual rather than abrupt. This backdrop underpins the 35.5 percent market-implied probability on rates below 1,600, while the modest 18 percent odds on the 1,600–1,699 bracket reflect ongoing uncertainty around oil shocks and fiscal execution. Strong GDP growth forecasts near 3.5 percent and renewed foreign-direct-investment commitments further limit the scope for sharp peso weakness through year-end.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
ভলিউম
$18,372শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's ongoing stabilization under President Milei's crawling-peg regime with an inflation-linked exchange-rate band continues to anchor trader expectations for the official ARS/USD rate by December 2026. Recent central-bank surveys showing 2026 inflation around 30 percent, paired with steady reserve accumulation and IMF-backed liquidity support, have reinforced confidence that depreciation will remain gradual rather than abrupt. This backdrop underpins the 35.5 percent market-implied probability on rates below 1,600, while the modest 18 percent odds on the 1,600–1,699 bracket reflect ongoing uncertainty around oil shocks and fiscal execution. Strong GDP growth forecasts near 3.5 percent and renewed foreign-direct-investment commitments further limit the scope for sharp peso weakness through year-end.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ভলিউম
$18,372শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's ongoing stabilization under President Milei's crawling-peg regime with an inflation-linked exchange-rate band continues to anchor trader expectations for the official ARS/USD rate by December 2026. Recent central-bank surveys showing 2026 inflation around 30 percent, paired with steady reserve accumulation and IMF-backed liquidity support, have reinforced confidence that depreciation will remain gradual rather than abrupt. This backdrop underpins the 35.5 percent market-implied probability on rates below 1,600, while the modest 18 percent odds on the 1,600–1,699 bracket reflect ongoing uncertainty around oil shocks and fiscal execution. Strong GDP growth forecasts near 3.5 percent and renewed foreign-direct-investment commitments further limit the scope for sharp peso weakness through year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা