The Bank of Israel’s current 4.00% policy rate faces an 80.5% implied probability of a 25-basis-point cut at the May 25 meeting, driven by inflation that has stabilized near the 2% midpoint of the 1–3% target range after February’s 2.0% print and moderating energy-price pressures. The Monetary Committee’s March hold reflected a temporary pause amid geopolitical uncertainty and a brief CPI uptick, yet the Bank’s own 2026 inflation forecast remains subdued at 1.7–2.2%, reinforcing the easing bias established by the November and January reductions. One-year inflation expectations have since anchored near 1.5–2.0%, while resilient non-inflationary growth and stabilizing shekel dynamics support resumption of gradual policy normalization. April CPI data and any further geopolitical developments remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow 19.5% probability of no change.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডDecrease 80%
No Change 20%
Increase <1%
$41,039 Vol.
$41,039 Vol.
Decrease
80%
No Change
20%
Increase
1%
Decrease 80%
No Change 20%
Increase <1%
$41,039 Vol.
$41,039 Vol.
Decrease
80%
No Change
20%
Increase
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Israel’s current 4.00% policy rate faces an 80.5% implied probability of a 25-basis-point cut at the May 25 meeting, driven by inflation that has stabilized near the 2% midpoint of the 1–3% target range after February’s 2.0% print and moderating energy-price pressures. The Monetary Committee’s March hold reflected a temporary pause amid geopolitical uncertainty and a brief CPI uptick, yet the Bank’s own 2026 inflation forecast remains subdued at 1.7–2.2%, reinforcing the easing bias established by the November and January reductions. One-year inflation expectations have since anchored near 1.5–2.0%, while resilient non-inflationary growth and stabilizing shekel dynamics support resumption of gradual policy normalization. April CPI data and any further geopolitical developments remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow 19.5% probability of no change.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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