Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 83.5% following her 53.1%-46.9% runoff victory over Melissa Hernandez on August 18, 2026, which was called two days later. The state senator advanced from both June primaries with double-digit margins in the heavily Democratic East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell. Hernandez closed the gap with heavy outside spending from pro-Israel groups but could not overcome Wahab’s grassroots support and name recognition. Wahab now serves as incumbent through January and enters the November general election—where the two Democrats face off again under new district lines—as the clear frontrunner, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$20,258 Vol.
$20,258 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Aisha Wahab
84%
Melissa Hernandez
16%
$20,258 Vol.
$20,258 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Aisha Wahab
$12,175 Vol.
84%
Melissa Hernandez
$8,083 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 83.5% following her 53.1%-46.9% runoff victory over Melissa Hernandez on August 18, 2026, which was called two days later. The state senator advanced from both June primaries with double-digit margins in the heavily Democratic East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell. Hernandez closed the gap with heavy outside spending from pro-Israel groups but could not overcome Wahab’s grassroots support and name recognition. Wahab now serves as incumbent through January and enters the November general election—where the two Democrats face off again under new district lines—as the clear frontrunner, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
ভলিউম
$20,258শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 83.5% following her 53.1%-46.9% runoff victory over Melissa Hernandez on August 18, 2026, which was called two days later. The state senator advanced from both June primaries with double-digit margins in the heavily Democratic East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell. Hernandez closed the gap with heavy outside spending from pro-Israel groups but could not overcome Wahab’s grassroots support and name recognition. Wahab now serves as incumbent through January and enters the November general election—where the two Democrats face off again under new district lines—as the clear frontrunner, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$20,258শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market at 83.5% following her 53.1%-46.9% runoff victory over Melissa Hernandez on August 18, 2026, which was called two days later. The state senator advanced from both June primaries with double-digit margins in the heavily Democratic East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell. Hernandez closed the gap with heavy outside spending from pro-Israel groups but could not overcome Wahab’s grassroots support and name recognition. Wahab now serves as incumbent through January and enters the November general election—where the two Democrats face off again under new district lines—as the clear frontrunner, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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