California's 48th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired in March amid redistricting under Proposition 50, shifting boundaries toward San Diego and Riverside counties to create a competitive battleground. A late-April Tulchin Research poll of likely voters shows Republican Jim Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrat Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with Democrats' crowded field—over 10 candidates—splitting their vote and boosting Republican chances for both top-two spots. High undecideds (around 25%) and recent Democratic infighting, alongside strong GOP fundraising, shape trader consensus on a fragmented race; early voting begins soon, with national midterm dynamics adding volatility.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডJim Desmond
94%
Ammar Campa-Najjar
62%
Marni von Wilpert
31%
Brandon Riker
26%
Abel Chavez
7%
Mike Schaefer
6%
Corinna Contreras
6%
Kevin O'Neil
4%
Luis Reyna
3%
Ferguson Porter
2%
Stephen Clemons
2%
Eric Shaw
2%
$3,194 Vol.
Jim Desmond
94%
Ammar Campa-Najjar
62%
Marni von Wilpert
31%
Brandon Riker
26%
Abel Chavez
7%
Mike Schaefer
6%
Corinna Contreras
6%
Kevin O'Neil
4%
Luis Reyna
3%
Ferguson Porter
2%
Stephen Clemons
2%
Eric Shaw
2%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's 48th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired in March amid redistricting under Proposition 50, shifting boundaries toward San Diego and Riverside counties to create a competitive battleground. A late-April Tulchin Research poll of likely voters shows Republican Jim Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrat Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with Democrats' crowded field—over 10 candidates—splitting their vote and boosting Republican chances for both top-two spots. High undecideds (around 25%) and recent Democratic infighting, alongside strong GOP fundraising, shape trader consensus on a fragmented race; early voting begins soon, with national midterm dynamics adding volatility.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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