Elon Musk’s prolific posting cadence on X, averaging 30–70 daily tweets in recent months amid business updates, political commentary, and real-time reactions, underpins the tight contest between the 440-459 and 460-479 ranges at roughly 43% and 42.5% implied probability. Traders weigh his baseline activity—often elevated by Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments or viral cultural moments—against potential dips from travel or external commitments, while noting historical weekly totals frequently cluster in this band. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty over whether a typical seven-day stretch will tip slightly higher or lower, with momentum hinging on any late-June news cycles that could accelerate engagement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড200-219 22%
220-239 19%
180-199 17%
160-179 10%
$993,039 Vol.
$993,039 Vol.
Jul 3, 2026
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
4%
160-179
10%
180-199
17%
200-219
22%
220-239
19%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
1%
320-339
2%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 22%
220-239 19%
180-199 17%
160-179 10%
$993,039 Vol.
$993,039 Vol.
Jul 3, 2026
20-39
$6,442 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,158 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$15,470 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$69,893 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$82,571 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$48,964 Vol.
1%
140-159
$24,075 Vol.
4%
160-179
$17,599 Vol.
10%
180-199
$26,619 Vol.
17%
200-219
$15,226 Vol.
22%
220-239
$14,638 Vol.
19%
240-259
$23,116 Vol.
9%
260-279
$17,064 Vol.
6%
280-299
$16,830 Vol.
3%
300-319
$17,914 Vol.
1%
320-339
$31,766 Vol.
2%
340-359
$27,154 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$22,476 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$21,952 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$37,578 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$39,210 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$90,312 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$82,398 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$101,810 Vol.
<1%
500+
$124,364 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 26 12:00 PM ET to July 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s prolific posting cadence on X, averaging 30–70 daily tweets in recent months amid business updates, political commentary, and real-time reactions, underpins the tight contest between the 440-459 and 460-479 ranges at roughly 43% and 42.5% implied probability. Traders weigh his baseline activity—often elevated by Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments or viral cultural moments—against potential dips from travel or external commitments, while noting historical weekly totals frequently cluster in this band. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty over whether a typical seven-day stretch will tip slightly higher or lower, with momentum hinging on any late-June news cycles that could accelerate engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 26 12:00 PM ET to July 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ভলিউম
$993,039শেষ তারিখ
Jul 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 26 12:00 PM ET to July 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s prolific posting cadence on X, averaging 30–70 daily tweets in recent months amid business updates, political commentary, and real-time reactions, underpins the tight contest between the 440-459 and 460-479 ranges at roughly 43% and 42.5% implied probability. Traders weigh his baseline activity—often elevated by Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments or viral cultural moments—against potential dips from travel or external commitments, while noting historical weekly totals frequently cluster in this band. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty over whether a typical seven-day stretch will tip slightly higher or lower, with momentum hinging on any late-June news cycles that could accelerate engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 26 12:00 PM ET to July 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ভলিউম
$993,039শেষ তারিখ
Jul 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s prolific posting cadence on X, averaging 30–70 daily tweets in recent months amid business updates, political commentary, and real-time reactions, underpins the tight contest between the 440-459 and 460-479 ranges at roughly 43% and 42.5% implied probability. Traders weigh his baseline activity—often elevated by Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments or viral cultural moments—against potential dips from travel or external commitments, while noting historical weekly totals frequently cluster in this band. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty over whether a typical seven-day stretch will tip slightly higher or lower, with momentum hinging on any late-June news cycles that could accelerate engagement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা