Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces only Democratic nominee Kelly Esti in Georgia’s 8th congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican lean, demonstrated by Scott’s 68.9 percent share in 2024, underpins trader expectations that the incumbent will secure a first-round majority. Scott ran unopposed in the May 19 Republican primary, while Esti narrowly prevailed in the Democratic contest with 53.5 percent. Georgia’s runoff rule requires over 50 percent for an outright win, yet the absence of additional major candidates or recent polling shifts that would narrow the margin supports the near-certain implied probability. Late developments such as turnout surges, third-party entries, or unforeseen national events remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.