**Trader sentiment for Beijing's July 5 maximum temperature centers on uncertainty in short-term forecast models regarding thunderstorm timing and coverage.** Current guidance from regional models shows scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover persisting into July 5, which typically caps daytime highs by 2–4 °C through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This keeps the market-implied distribution tightly clustered around 29–31 °C, consistent with climatological July averages of 31–32 °C and recent observed maxima near 35–36 °C under clearer conditions. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on precise rainfall onset, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow that could either allow brief clearing for 32–33 °C or sustain overcast skies for 28–29 °C. Official Beijing station readings at 14:00 local time will resolve the market, with traders weighing ensemble spread in the latest model runs for any shifts in convective timing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Beijing on July 5?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 5?
31°C 31%
32°C 21.3%
30°C 19%
33°C 10.4%
নতুন
$12,144 Vol.
নতুন
$12,144 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
19%
31°C
31%
32°C
21%
33°C
10%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 31%
32°C 21.3%
30°C 19%
33°C 10.4%
নতুন
$12,144 Vol.
নতুন
$12,144 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
25°C or below
$1,426 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$768 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$470 Vol.
1%
28°C
$702 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,375 Vol.
9%
30°C
$1,127 Vol.
19%
31°C
$656 Vol.
31%
32°C
$821 Vol.
21%
33°C
$823 Vol.
10%
34°C
$1,220 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$2,755 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing's July 5 maximum temperature centers on uncertainty in short-term forecast models regarding thunderstorm timing and coverage.** Current guidance from regional models shows scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover persisting into July 5, which typically caps daytime highs by 2–4 °C through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This keeps the market-implied distribution tightly clustered around 29–31 °C, consistent with climatological July averages of 31–32 °C and recent observed maxima near 35–36 °C under clearer conditions. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on precise rainfall onset, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow that could either allow brief clearing for 32–33 °C or sustain overcast skies for 28–29 °C. Official Beijing station readings at 14:00 local time will resolve the market, with traders weighing ensemble spread in the latest model runs for any shifts in convective timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$12,144শেষ তারিখ
Jul 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing's July 5 maximum temperature centers on uncertainty in short-term forecast models regarding thunderstorm timing and coverage.** Current guidance from regional models shows scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover persisting into July 5, which typically caps daytime highs by 2–4 °C through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This keeps the market-implied distribution tightly clustered around 29–31 °C, consistent with climatological July averages of 31–32 °C and recent observed maxima near 35–36 °C under clearer conditions. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on precise rainfall onset, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow that could either allow brief clearing for 32–33 °C or sustain overcast skies for 28–29 °C. Official Beijing station readings at 14:00 local time will resolve the market, with traders weighing ensemble spread in the latest model runs for any shifts in convective timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$12,144শেষ তারিখ
Jul 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Beijing's July 5 maximum temperature centers on uncertainty in short-term forecast models regarding thunderstorm timing and coverage.** Current guidance from regional models shows scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover persisting into July 5, which typically caps daytime highs by 2–4 °C through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This keeps the market-implied distribution tightly clustered around 29–31 °C, consistent with climatological July averages of 31–32 °C and recent observed maxima near 35–36 °C under clearer conditions. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on precise rainfall onset, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow that could either allow brief clearing for 32–33 °C or sustain overcast skies for 28–29 °C. Official Beijing station readings at 14:00 local time will resolve the market, with traders weighing ensemble spread in the latest model runs for any shifts in convective timing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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