Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing’s September 9 high will likely fall in the 25–27 °C range after rain and northerly flow cool the city on the 7th and 8th. Clearing skies and light winds on the 9th should allow moderate daytime warming without the stronger heating seen earlier in the month or in historical September averages near 27–28 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47 % implied probability for exactly 26 °C, aligns with this consensus output while assigning lower weight to outliers above 28 °C or below 25 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data points likely to refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
26°C 47%
27°C 25%
25°C 15%
24°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
15%
26°C
47%
27°C
25%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 47%
27°C 25%
25°C 15%
24°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
15%
26°C
47%
27°C
25%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing’s September 9 high will likely fall in the 25–27 °C range after rain and northerly flow cool the city on the 7th and 8th. Clearing skies and light winds on the 9th should allow moderate daytime warming without the stronger heating seen earlier in the month or in historical September averages near 27–28 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47 % implied probability for exactly 26 °C, aligns with this consensus output while assigning lower weight to outliers above 28 °C or below 25 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data points likely to refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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