Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a nighttime minimum near 14°C in Beijing on September 9, driven by clear skies, light winds, and enhanced radiative cooling after a cooler air mass arrived. This aligns with observed afternoon temperatures around 25–26°C and supports the market’s overwhelming 95% implied probability for 14°C. Historical September averages near 17.5°C provide context for the below-normal reading. Traders price in limited upside or downside risk because official station measurements resolve the market and late-day model runs show minimal spread. A shift in observed low could occur only from unforecast cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
14°C 95%
13°C 19%
11°C 6%
12°C 4%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
4%
13°C
19%
14°C
95%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 95%
13°C 19%
11°C 6%
12°C 4%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
4%
13°C
19%
14°C
95%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a nighttime minimum near 14°C in Beijing on September 9, driven by clear skies, light winds, and enhanced radiative cooling after a cooler air mass arrived. This aligns with observed afternoon temperatures around 25–26°C and supports the market’s overwhelming 95% implied probability for 14°C. Historical September averages near 17.5°C provide context for the below-normal reading. Traders price in limited upside or downside risk because official station measurements resolve the market and late-day model runs show minimal spread. A shift in observed low could occur only from unforecast cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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