**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C daily maximum in Tokyo on September 9, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations recorded a peak of 31.3°C by mid-afternoon under southerly flow, aligning closely with pre-event model consensus from agencies including JMA and supporting forecasts. Persistent high humidity and southerly winds maintained elevated readings before a shift to northerly flow and increasing rain probability drove rapid cooling. Historical September climatology for Tokyo shows typical highs near 28–30°C, making this outcome consistent with recent warm conditions. The only realistic challenges would involve post-hoc data revisions by JMA or an unexpected late-day spike exceeding the 31°C threshold before official closeout, though current observations and model trends make such shifts improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
31°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$64,092 Vol.
$64,092 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$64,092 Vol.
$64,092 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
$5,573 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,234 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,274 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,599 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,052 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,507 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$13,372 Vol.
100%
32°C
$9,991 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,676 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,695 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$2,119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C daily maximum in Tokyo on September 9, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations recorded a peak of 31.3°C by mid-afternoon under southerly flow, aligning closely with pre-event model consensus from agencies including JMA and supporting forecasts. Persistent high humidity and southerly winds maintained elevated readings before a shift to northerly flow and increasing rain probability drove rapid cooling. Historical September climatology for Tokyo shows typical highs near 28–30°C, making this outcome consistent with recent warm conditions. The only realistic challenges would involve post-hoc data revisions by JMA or an unexpected late-day spike exceeding the 31°C threshold before official closeout, though current observations and model trends make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$64,092শেষ তারিখ
Sep 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C daily maximum in Tokyo on September 9, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations recorded a peak of 31.3°C by mid-afternoon under southerly flow, aligning closely with pre-event model consensus from agencies including JMA and supporting forecasts. Persistent high humidity and southerly winds maintained elevated readings before a shift to northerly flow and increasing rain probability drove rapid cooling. Historical September climatology for Tokyo shows typical highs near 28–30°C, making this outcome consistent with recent warm conditions. The only realistic challenges would involve post-hoc data revisions by JMA or an unexpected late-day spike exceeding the 31°C threshold before official closeout, though current observations and model trends make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$64,092শেষ তারিখ
Sep 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C daily maximum in Tokyo on September 9, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations recorded a peak of 31.3°C by mid-afternoon under southerly flow, aligning closely with pre-event model consensus from agencies including JMA and supporting forecasts. Persistent high humidity and southerly winds maintained elevated readings before a shift to northerly flow and increasing rain probability drove rapid cooling. Historical September climatology for Tokyo shows typical highs near 28–30°C, making this outcome consistent with recent warm conditions. The only realistic challenges would involve post-hoc data revisions by JMA or an unexpected late-day spike exceeding the 31°C threshold before official closeout, though current observations and model trends make such shifts improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা