Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and yr.no point to a daily high near 16°C for Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on that outcome. Mid-June falls in the Southern Hemisphere winter, when reduced solar radiation and frequent cold fronts from the South Atlantic keep maximum temperatures in the 15–17°C range, moderated by the Benguela Current. Ensemble models show limited variability, with minimal risk of warmer berg wind conditions or stronger cooling, supporting the combined 73.5% implied probability for 16–17°C. Updated guidance closer to the date could shift odds if a front strengthens or weakens.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 15?
16°C 50%
17°C 24%
15°C 13%
18°C 4.5%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
13%
16°C
50%
17°C
24%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 50%
17°C 24%
15°C 13%
18°C 4.5%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
13%
16°C
50%
17°C
24%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and yr.no point to a daily high near 16°C for Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on that outcome. Mid-June falls in the Southern Hemisphere winter, when reduced solar radiation and frequent cold fronts from the South Atlantic keep maximum temperatures in the 15–17°C range, moderated by the Benguela Current. Ensemble models show limited variability, with minimal risk of warmer berg wind conditions or stronger cooling, supporting the combined 73.5% implied probability for 16–17°C. Updated guidance closer to the date could shift odds if a front strengthens or weakens.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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